Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds will likely drive Chengdu's minimum temperature on September 6 into the mid-20s Celsius range, consistent with recent observations of 22–24°C lows amid stable high-pressure conditions. Subtle variations in cloud cover, humidity levels near 60–80%, and local urban heat effects create the main uncertainties distinguishing outcomes clustered around 24°C from slightly warmer or cooler bins. No significant frontal systems or monsoon influences are expected to alter the pattern before resolution, though model consensus on exact nocturnal minimums can shift with updated runs. Historical September baselines for the region show typical lows near 20–23°C, providing context for current trader positioning ahead of official station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 6?
30°C or higher 85%
21°C 49%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
20°C or below
40%
21°C
49%
22°C
26%
23°C
28%
24°C
35%
25°C
32%
26°C
28%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
9%
30°C or higher
85%
30°C or higher 85%
21°C 49%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
40%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
28%
24°C
$0 Vol.
35%
25°C
$0 Vol.
32%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
9%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds will likely drive Chengdu's minimum temperature on September 6 into the mid-20s Celsius range, consistent with recent observations of 22–24°C lows amid stable high-pressure conditions. Subtle variations in cloud cover, humidity levels near 60–80%, and local urban heat effects create the main uncertainties distinguishing outcomes clustered around 24°C from slightly warmer or cooler bins. No significant frontal systems or monsoon influences are expected to alter the pattern before resolution, though model consensus on exact nocturnal minimums can shift with updated runs. Historical September baselines for the region show typical lows near 20–23°C, providing context for current trader positioning ahead of official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds will likely drive Chengdu's minimum temperature on September 6 into the mid-20s Celsius range, consistent with recent observations of 22–24°C lows amid stable high-pressure conditions. Subtle variations in cloud cover, humidity levels near 60–80%, and local urban heat effects create the main uncertainties distinguishing outcomes clustered around 24°C from slightly warmer or cooler bins. No significant frontal systems or monsoon influences are expected to alter the pattern before resolution, though model consensus on exact nocturnal minimums can shift with updated runs. Historical September baselines for the region show typical lows near 20–23°C, providing context for current trader positioning ahead of official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds will likely drive Chengdu's minimum temperature on September 6 into the mid-20s Celsius range, consistent with recent observations of 22–24°C lows amid stable high-pressure conditions. Subtle variations in cloud cover, humidity levels near 60–80%, and local urban heat effects create the main uncertainties distinguishing outcomes clustered around 24°C from slightly warmer or cooler bins. No significant frontal systems or monsoon influences are expected to alter the pattern before resolution, though model consensus on exact nocturnal minimums can shift with updated runs. Historical September baselines for the region show typical lows near 20–23°C, providing context for current trader positioning ahead of official station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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