Latest global forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate stable westerly flow and high humidity over the Arabian Sea will hold Karachi's overnight minimum near 26–27°C on September 7, consistent with early-September climatology. Coastal moderation and lack of strong synoptic forcing or monsoon surges limit day-to-day variability, keeping the most likely range narrow. Traders price extremes such as 21°C or below and 31°C or higher equally because small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind timing can alter the precise hourly minimum by 1–2°C. Next model cycles and local observations from Pakistan Meteorological Department stations will provide the final resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on September 7?
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 69%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
21°C or below
69%
22°C
19%
23°C
48%
24°C
49%
25°C
25%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
69%
21°C or below 69%
31°C or higher 69%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
21°C or below
69%
22°C
19%
23°C
48%
24°C
49%
25°C
25%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest global forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate stable westerly flow and high humidity over the Arabian Sea will hold Karachi's overnight minimum near 26–27°C on September 7, consistent with early-September climatology. Coastal moderation and lack of strong synoptic forcing or monsoon surges limit day-to-day variability, keeping the most likely range narrow. Traders price extremes such as 21°C or below and 31°C or higher equally because small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind timing can alter the precise hourly minimum by 1–2°C. Next model cycles and local observations from Pakistan Meteorological Department stations will provide the final resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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