Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and ICON point to overnight lows near 10–11°C in Munich on September 11 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, following the passage of a frontal system on the 9th that leaves drier, higher-pressure conditions. This setup promotes radiative cooling after sunset, with dew points around 7–9°C limiting further drops unless skies clear fully or winds calm more than expected. Historical September averages near 10.6°C provide context, yet short-range model spreads and timing of any residual cloud cover create the tight clustering around 10°C, 7–9°C, and sub-5°C outcomes visible in current market pricing. Updated runs ahead of the date will clarify whether minimum readings settle near or below the seasonal norm.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 11?
15°C or higher 72%
5°C or below 33%
7°C 25%
8°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
5°C or below
33%
6°C
20%
7°C
25%
8°C
23%
9°C
23%
10°C
22%
11°C
12%
12°C
4%
13°C
16%
14°C
15%
15°C or higher
72%
15°C or higher 72%
5°C or below 33%
7°C 25%
8°C 23%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Vol.
33%
6°C
$0 Vol.
20%
7°C
$0 Vol.
25%
8°C
$0 Vol.
23%
9°C
$0 Vol.
23%
10°C
$0 Vol.
22%
11°C
$0 Vol.
12%
12°C
$571 Vol.
4%
13°C
$0 Vol.
16%
14°C
$0 Vol.
15%
15°C or higher
$0 Vol.
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and ICON point to overnight lows near 10–11°C in Munich on September 11 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, following the passage of a frontal system on the 9th that leaves drier, higher-pressure conditions. This setup promotes radiative cooling after sunset, with dew points around 7–9°C limiting further drops unless skies clear fully or winds calm more than expected. Historical September averages near 10.6°C provide context, yet short-range model spreads and timing of any residual cloud cover create the tight clustering around 10°C, 7–9°C, and sub-5°C outcomes visible in current market pricing. Updated runs ahead of the date will clarify whether minimum readings settle near or below the seasonal norm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$571End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and ICON point to overnight lows near 10–11°C in Munich on September 11 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, following the passage of a frontal system on the 9th that leaves drier, higher-pressure conditions. This setup promotes radiative cooling after sunset, with dew points around 7–9°C limiting further drops unless skies clear fully or winds calm more than expected. Historical September averages near 10.6°C provide context, yet short-range model spreads and timing of any residual cloud cover create the tight clustering around 10°C, 7–9°C, and sub-5°C outcomes visible in current market pricing. Updated runs ahead of the date will clarify whether minimum readings settle near or below the seasonal norm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$571End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF and ICON point to overnight lows near 10–11°C in Munich on September 11 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, following the passage of a frontal system on the 9th that leaves drier, higher-pressure conditions. This setup promotes radiative cooling after sunset, with dew points around 7–9°C limiting further drops unless skies clear fully or winds calm more than expected. Historical September averages near 10.6°C provide context, yet short-range model spreads and timing of any residual cloud cover create the tight clustering around 10°C, 7–9°C, and sub-5°C outcomes visible in current market pricing. Updated runs ahead of the date will clarify whether minimum readings settle near or below the seasonal norm.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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