Tropical maritime conditions in Panama City during the rainy season keep overnight lows tightly clustered near 24–25°C, driven by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Official climatology shows August minima averaging 24–25°C with low day-to-day variability; current forecasts from multiple models indicate a similar 24–25°C low for August 24 amid scattered thunderstorms. The near-equal market-implied odds on 20°C-or-below versus 30°C-or-higher reflect uncertainty around exact measurement thresholds and potential model spread in boundary-layer moisture rather than any signal of extreme deviation, while mid-20s outcomes capture the narrow historical and forecast envelope. Updated NHC and local agency guidance tonight will refine steering and rainfall impacts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 24?
20°C or below 59%
30°C or higher 59%
26°C 26%
22°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
59%
21°C
6%
22°C
22%
23°C
13%
24°C
15%
25°C
20%
26°C
26%
27°C
20%
28°C
18%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
59%
20°C or below 59%
30°C or higher 59%
26°C 26%
22°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
$55 Vol.
59%
21°C
$87 Vol.
6%
22°C
$80 Vol.
22%
23°C
$0 Vol.
13%
24°C
$0 Vol.
15%
25°C
$0 Vol.
20%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$0 Vol.
18%
29°C
$55 Vol.
11%
30°C or higher
$270 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tropical maritime conditions in Panama City during the rainy season keep overnight lows tightly clustered near 24–25°C, driven by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Official climatology shows August minima averaging 24–25°C with low day-to-day variability; current forecasts from multiple models indicate a similar 24–25°C low for August 24 amid scattered thunderstorms. The near-equal market-implied odds on 20°C-or-below versus 30°C-or-higher reflect uncertainty around exact measurement thresholds and potential model spread in boundary-layer moisture rather than any signal of extreme deviation, while mid-20s outcomes capture the narrow historical and forecast envelope. Updated NHC and local agency guidance tonight will refine steering and rainfall impacts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$547End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tropical maritime conditions in Panama City during the rainy season keep overnight lows tightly clustered near 24–25°C, driven by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Official climatology shows August minima averaging 24–25°C with low day-to-day variability; current forecasts from multiple models indicate a similar 24–25°C low for August 24 amid scattered thunderstorms. The near-equal market-implied odds on 20°C-or-below versus 30°C-or-higher reflect uncertainty around exact measurement thresholds and potential model spread in boundary-layer moisture rather than any signal of extreme deviation, while mid-20s outcomes capture the narrow historical and forecast envelope. Updated NHC and local agency guidance tonight will refine steering and rainfall impacts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$547End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tropical maritime conditions in Panama City during the rainy season keep overnight lows tightly clustered near 24–25°C, driven by high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Official climatology shows August minima averaging 24–25°C with low day-to-day variability; current forecasts from multiple models indicate a similar 24–25°C low for August 24 amid scattered thunderstorms. The near-equal market-implied odds on 20°C-or-below versus 30°C-or-higher reflect uncertainty around exact measurement thresholds and potential model spread in boundary-layer moisture rather than any signal of extreme deviation, while mid-20s outcomes capture the narrow historical and forecast envelope. Updated NHC and local agency guidance tonight will refine steering and rainfall impacts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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