Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 18°C as Shanghai's lowest temperature on June 10, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and consistent observational data from regional meteorological networks showing minimum readings locked in that range. Current model guidance indicates limited diurnal variation, with overnight lows held near this threshold by moderate humidity and light winds, consistent with typical early June climatology for the Yangtze River Delta. This positioning aligns with the resolution criteria based on official station measurements. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, such as an unforecasted cold front or localized urban heat island effects shifting the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, though updated model runs through the evening window show low probability of such shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 10?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 10?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$33,987 ปริมาณ
$33,987 ปริมาณ
Jun 10, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$33,987 ปริมาณ
$33,987 ปริมาณ
Jun 10, 2026
12°C or below
$481 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$885 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$744 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$757 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$3,602 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$7,343 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$9,105 ปริมาณ
Yes
19°C
$2,619 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$2,001 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$3,185 ปริมาณ
No
22°C or higher
$3,264 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 18°C as Shanghai's lowest temperature on June 10, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and consistent observational data from regional meteorological networks showing minimum readings locked in that range. Current model guidance indicates limited diurnal variation, with overnight lows held near this threshold by moderate humidity and light winds, consistent with typical early June climatology for the Yangtze River Delta. This positioning aligns with the resolution criteria based on official station measurements. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, such as an unforecasted cold front or localized urban heat island effects shifting the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, though updated model runs through the evening window show low probability of such shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,987วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 18°C as Shanghai's lowest temperature on June 10, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and consistent observational data from regional meteorological networks showing minimum readings locked in that range. Current model guidance indicates limited diurnal variation, with overnight lows held near this threshold by moderate humidity and light winds, consistent with typical early June climatology for the Yangtze River Delta. This positioning aligns with the resolution criteria based on official station measurements. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, such as an unforecasted cold front or localized urban heat island effects shifting the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, though updated model runs through the evening window show low probability of such shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,987วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors 18°C as Shanghai's lowest temperature on June 10, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and consistent observational data from regional meteorological networks showing minimum readings locked in that range. Current model guidance indicates limited diurnal variation, with overnight lows held near this threshold by moderate humidity and light winds, consistent with typical early June climatology for the Yangtze River Delta. This positioning aligns with the resolution criteria based on official station measurements. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain narrow, such as an unforecasted cold front or localized urban heat island effects shifting the recorded minimum by 1–2°C, though updated model runs through the evening window show low probability of such shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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