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icon for Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?
Politics·Out

Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?

icon for Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?
Politics·Out

Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?

4% chance
Polymarket
NEW
4% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nicușor Dan ceases to be the President of Romania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nicușor Dan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also sufficeNicușor Dan, elected in May 2025 for a five-year term, faces ongoing parliamentary gridlock after the April 2026 government collapse and multiple failed prime minister nominations, yet removal before year-end remains improbable. Impeachment requires a parliamentary majority to suspend him followed by a national referendum, with no viable coalition in place despite opposition threats and far-right polling strength. Dan continues consultations to form a stable government, including a recent third nominee, while avoiding snap elections that could empower rivals. Trader consensus at 96% for "No" reflects these structural hurdles, low likelihood of voluntary resignation, and absence of advancing legal or health developments. Late shifts could stem from a sudden parliamentary realignment enabling suspension or an unforeseen crisis forcing exit.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nicușor Dan ceases to be the President of Romania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Nicușor Dan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also sufficeThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Nicușor Dan ceases to be the President of Romania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nicușor Dan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice
Volume
$5,965
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 8:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nicușor Dan ceases to be the President of Romania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nicușor Dan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also sufficeNicușor Dan, elected in May 2025 for a five-year term, faces ongoing parliamentary gridlock after the April 2026 government collapse and multiple failed prime minister nominations, yet removal before year-end remains improbable. Impeachment requires a parliamentary majority to suspend him followed by a national referendum, with no viable coalition in place despite opposition threats and far-right polling strength. Dan continues consultations to form a stable government, including a recent third nominee, while avoiding snap elections that could empower rivals. Trader consensus at 96% for "No" reflects these structural hurdles, low likelihood of voluntary resignation, and absence of advancing legal or health developments. Late shifts could stem from a sudden parliamentary realignment enabling suspension or an unforeseen crisis forcing exit.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nicușor Dan ceases to be the President of Romania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Nicușor Dan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also sufficeThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Nicușor Dan ceases to be the President of Romania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nicușor Dan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice
Volume
$5,965
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 8:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 4% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 4¢, the market collectively assigns a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?" is 4% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.