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icon for Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

icon for Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

9% chance
Polymarket

$52,351 Vol.

9% chance
Polymarket

$52,351 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romania's parliament faces a caretaker period after the May 5 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's coalition, yet constitutional rules require two successive failed prime-ministerial investiture votes within sixty days before the president may dissolve the chambers. Major parties including the Social Democrats and National Liberals have signaled willingness to negotiate a new pro-European cabinet rather than force the deadlock that would trigger early elections, especially given the Alliance for the Union of Romanians' strong polling lead and the August 31 Recovery and Resilience Plan deadline. President Nicușor Dan's ongoing consultations and the absence of any announced impasse therefore anchor trader expectations that parliament will remain seated through July 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$52,351
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Romania's parliament faces a caretaker period after the May 5 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's coalition, yet constitutional rules require two successive failed prime-ministerial investiture votes within sixty days before the president may dissolve the chambers. Major parties including the Social Democrats and National Liberals have signaled willingness to negotiate a new pro-European cabinet rather than force the deadlock that would trigger early elections, especially given the Alliance for the Union of Romanians' strong polling lead and the August 31 Recovery and Resilience Plan deadline. President Nicușor Dan's ongoing consultations and the absence of any announced impasse therefore anchor trader expectations that parliament will remain seated through July 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$52,351
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 9% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 9¢, the market collectively assigns a 9% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?" has generated $52.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?" is 9% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 9% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.