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Out predictions & odds

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Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

74%

December 31

$25M Vol.

$2M today

$558K Liq.

1,564

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

100%

June 30

$5M Vol.

$288K today

$468K Liq.

114

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

2%

$2M Vol.

$122K today

$160K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

7%

$9M Vol.

$113K today

$199K Liq.

707

Ends in 8 months

Trump out as President by May 31?

Trump out as President by May 31?

<1%

$1M Vol.

$112K today

$565K Liq.

1

Ends in 16 days

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

1%

$3M Vol.

$111K today

$52.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

11%

$8M Vol.

$104K today

$708K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Trump out as President by June 30?

Trump out as President by June 30?

1%

$5M Vol.

$96.5K today

$466K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$222K Vol.

$59.8K today

$34.1K Liq.

38

Ends in 8 months

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?

40%

$61.5K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 16 days

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$120M Vol.

$209K Liq.

34

Ends in 8 months

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

12%

$4M Vol.

$208K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

2%

$657K Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

4%

$233K Vol.

$30.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

14%

$18.5K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

60%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$73.6K Liq.

66

Ends in about 2 months

Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

65%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$71.8K Liq.

121

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

15%

$9.6K Vol.

$25.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

99%

December 31

$401K Vol.

$65.2K Liq.

106

Ends in 8 months

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

19%

$412K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

161

Ends in 16 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Out.

Polymarket currently hosts 325 active markets for Out that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Starmer out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $189.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Out predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.