MrBeast’s latest long-form challenge, “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000,” benefits from the creator’s 514-million-subscriber base and proven algorithmic momentum on YouTube. Live trackers show the video opened in the mid-20 million range on day one and has maintained strong hourly velocity through day two, driven by thumbnail performance, consistent audience habits, and ongoing recommendations. This sustained pace places it squarely on track for the 43–45 million cumulative bracket by the 48-hour mark, giving traders overwhelming confidence in that narrow range. A sudden YouTube view-count policy shift or unexpected content fatigue could produce an upset, though current data indicate such disruptions are unlikely to derail the established trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of MrBeast video day 2?
43–45M 100.0%
<35M <1%
35–37M <1%
37–39M <1%
$78,938 Vol.
$78,938 Vol.
<35M
No
35–37M
No
37–39M
No
39–41M
No
41–43M
No
43–45M
Yes
45M+
No
43–45M 100.0%
<35M <1%
35–37M <1%
37–39M <1%
$78,938 Vol.
$78,938 Vol.
<35M
No
35–37M
No
37–39M
No
39–41M
No
41–43M
No
43–45M
Yes
45M+
No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4gResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4g. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qtl8lJwbd4gResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
MrBeast’s latest long-form challenge, “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000,” benefits from the creator’s 514-million-subscriber base and proven algorithmic momentum on YouTube. Live trackers show the video opened in the mid-20 million range on day one and has maintained strong hourly velocity through day two, driven by thumbnail performance, consistent audience habits, and ongoing recommendations. This sustained pace places it squarely on track for the 43–45 million cumulative bracket by the 48-hour mark, giving traders overwhelming confidence in that narrow range. A sudden YouTube view-count policy shift or unexpected content fatigue could produce an upset, though current data indicate such disruptions are unlikely to derail the established trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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