OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro currently leads the FrontierMath benchmark—a test of research-level math problems across Tiers 1-4—with 52.4% on Tiers 1-3 and 39.6% on the hardest Tier 4, per its April 2026 release, outpacing rivals like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7. Trader consensus reflects rapid iteration in OpenAI's model family, but sentiment tempered by Epoch AI's May 11 announcement of a review after GPT-5.5 flagged fatal errors in about one-third of problems, pausing leaderboard updates. DeepMind's multi-agent system recently hit 47.9% on Tier 4, heightening competition. With six weeks to June 30, watch for GPT-5.6 previews or revised scores that could swing implied probabilities on threshold achievements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$34,665 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
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$34,665 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro currently leads the FrontierMath benchmark—a test of research-level math problems across Tiers 1-4—with 52.4% on Tiers 1-3 and 39.6% on the hardest Tier 4, per its April 2026 release, outpacing rivals like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7. Trader consensus reflects rapid iteration in OpenAI's model family, but sentiment tempered by Epoch AI's May 11 announcement of a review after GPT-5.5 flagged fatal errors in about one-third of problems, pausing leaderboard updates. DeepMind's multi-agent system recently hit 47.9% on Tier 4, heightening competition. With six weeks to June 30, watch for GPT-5.6 previews or revised scores that could swing implied probabilities on threshold achievements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Volume
$34,665End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro currently leads the FrontierMath benchmark—a test of research-level math problems across Tiers 1-4—with 52.4% on Tiers 1-3 and 39.6% on the hardest Tier 4, per its April 2026 release, outpacing rivals like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7. Trader consensus reflects rapid iteration in OpenAI's model family, but sentiment tempered by Epoch AI's May 11 announcement of a review after GPT-5.5 flagged fatal errors in about one-third of problems, pausing leaderboard updates. DeepMind's multi-agent system recently hit 47.9% on Tier 4, heightening competition. With six weeks to June 30, watch for GPT-5.6 previews or revised scores that could swing implied probabilities on threshold achievements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$34,665End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro currently leads the FrontierMath benchmark—a test of research-level math problems across Tiers 1-4—with 52.4% on Tiers 1-3 and 39.6% on the hardest Tier 4, per its April 2026 release, outpacing rivals like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7. Trader consensus reflects rapid iteration in OpenAI's model family, but sentiment tempered by Epoch AI's May 11 announcement of a review after GPT-5.5 flagged fatal errors in about one-third of problems, pausing leaderboard updates. DeepMind's multi-agent system recently hit 47.9% on Tier 4, heightening competition. With six weeks to June 30, watch for GPT-5.6 previews or revised scores that could swing implied probabilities on threshold achievements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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