Prabowo Subianto continues serving as Indonesia’s president with a parliamentary supermajority, delivering his second State of the Nation address in mid-August 2026 and overseeing policy implementation two years into his term. Approval ratings have fallen to around 51 percent amid rupiah weakness, equity market declines, and criticism of flagship programs like the free nutritious meals initiative, which has faced mass poisoning incidents, corruption probes, and leadership turnover. Recent actions include sacking officials over graft allegations, advancing state-owned enterprise reforms, and expanding commodity export monitoring, while the central bank governor resigned under reported pressure. No credible impeachment process, resignation signals, or constitutional challenges have emerged; removal would require legislative action or extraordinary events. Traders assessing short-term exit probabilities weigh these institutional buffers against ongoing protests and economic headwinds that could intensify ahead of budget votes or further policy rollouts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$124,743 Vol.
December 31
7%
June 30, 2027
14%
$124,743 Vol.
December 31
7%
June 30, 2027
14%
An announcement of Prabowo Subianto's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Prabowo Subianto and the government of Indonesia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 20, 2026, 12:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Prabowo Subianto's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Prabowo Subianto and the government of Indonesia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Prabowo Subianto continues serving as Indonesia’s president with a parliamentary supermajority, delivering his second State of the Nation address in mid-August 2026 and overseeing policy implementation two years into his term. Approval ratings have fallen to around 51 percent amid rupiah weakness, equity market declines, and criticism of flagship programs like the free nutritious meals initiative, which has faced mass poisoning incidents, corruption probes, and leadership turnover. Recent actions include sacking officials over graft allegations, advancing state-owned enterprise reforms, and expanding commodity export monitoring, while the central bank governor resigned under reported pressure. No credible impeachment process, resignation signals, or constitutional challenges have emerged; removal would require legislative action or extraordinary events. Traders assessing short-term exit probabilities weigh these institutional buffers against ongoing protests and economic headwinds that could intensify ahead of budget votes or further policy rollouts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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