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Survivor 50 Winner

icon for Survivor 50 Winner

Survivor 50 Winner

Aubry Bracco 95%

Jonathan Young 2.1%

Joe Hunter 1.4%

Tiffany Nicole Ervin 1.0%

Polymarket

$1,626,449 Vol.

Aubry Bracco 95%

Jonathan Young 2.1%

Joe Hunter 1.4%

Tiffany Nicole Ervin 1.0%

Polymarket

$1,626,449 Vol.

Aubry Bracco

$368,023 Vol.

95%

Jonathan Young

$83,345 Vol.

2%

Joe Hunter

$96,405 Vol.

1%

Tiffany Nicole Ervin

$34,715 Vol.

1%

Rizo Velovic

$100,750 Vol.

1%

Rick Devens

$74,125 Vol.

<1%

Cirie Fields

$76,632 Vol.

<1%

Emily Flippen

$44,757 Vol.

<1%

Jenna Lewis-Dougherty

$37,239 Vol.

<1%

Stephenie LaGrossa Kendrick

$45,424 Vol.

<1%

Colby Donaldson

$39,215 Vol.

<1%

Mike White

$59,031 Vol.

<1%

Angelina Keeley

$26,883 Vol.

<1%

Charlie Davis

$57,219 Vol.

<1%

Genevieve Mushaluk

$31,314 Vol.

<1%

Kamilla Karthigesu

$46,418 Vol.

<1%

Benjamin "Coach" Wade

$34,973 Vol.

<1%

Ozzy Lusth

$86,159 Vol.

<1%

Quintavius "Q" Burdette

$36,041 Vol.

<1%

Chrissy Hofbeck

$37,649 Vol.

<1%

Christian Hubicki

$76,841 Vol.

<1%

Dee Valladares

$81,969 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Fraser

$10,057 Vol.

<1%

Savannah Louie

$41,442 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Aubry Bracco’s commanding 94.5% implied probability on the Survivor 50 winner market stems from her decisive late-game strategy that eliminated major threats Cirie Fields and Ozzy Lusth in recent episodes, cementing a favorable edit and strong jury narrative as a four-time returning player. Traders view her social navigation, middle positioning, and ability to capitalize on twists as decisive advantages heading into the May 20 finale against finalists like Jonathan Young and Joe Hunter. Historical precedent of experienced contestants prevailing in all-stars seasons reinforces the consensus. An upset would require an immunity run by a rival or a jury backlash against Aubry’s perceived luck, though both scenarios appear unlikely given current momentum.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Volume
$1,626,449
End Date
May 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.Aubry Bracco’s commanding 94.5% implied probability on the Survivor 50 winner market stems from her decisive late-game strategy that eliminated major threats Cirie Fields and Ozzy Lusth in recent episodes, cementing a favorable edit and strong jury narrative as a four-time returning player. Traders view her social navigation, middle positioning, and ability to capitalize on twists as decisive advantages heading into the May 20 finale against finalists like Jonathan Young and Joe Hunter. Historical precedent of experienced contestants prevailing in all-stars seasons reinforces the consensus. An upset would require an immunity run by a rival or a jury backlash against Aubry’s perceived luck, though both scenarios appear unlikely given current momentum.

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Volume
$1,626,449
End Date
May 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 16, 2026, 11:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Survivor 50 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aubry Bracco" at 95%, followed by "Jonathan Young" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Survivor 50 Winner" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Survivor 50 Winner," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Survivor 50 Winner" is "Aubry Bracco" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jonathan Young" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Survivor 50 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.