Tom Kean Jr. returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a four-month absence for depression treatment that began in March, during which he missed over 100 votes. Since resuming duties he has issued multiple August 2026 announcements on local funding and constituent events while remaining the Republican nominee for reelection in New Jersey’s 7th district. No public statements, filings, or credible reports indicate plans to resign or otherwise vacate the seat before the term concludes in January 2027. These developments anchor trader consensus that departure is unlikely, reflected in the 65 percent probability assigned to “No.”
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated35% chance
NEW
NEW
Jan 3, 2027
35% chance
NEW
NEW
Jan 3, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tom Kean Jr. returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a four-month absence for depression treatment that began in March, during which he missed over 100 votes. Since resuming duties he has issued multiple August 2026 announcements on local funding and constituent events while remaining the Republican nominee for reelection in New Jersey’s 7th district. No public statements, filings, or credible reports indicate plans to resign or otherwise vacate the seat before the term concludes in January 2027. These developments anchor trader consensus that departure is unlikely, reflected in the 65 percent probability assigned to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
Volume
$69End Date
Jan 3, 2027Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tom Kean Jr. returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a four-month absence for depression treatment that began in March, during which he missed over 100 votes. Since resuming duties he has issued multiple August 2026 announcements on local funding and constituent events while remaining the Republican nominee for reelection in New Jersey’s 7th district. No public statements, filings, or credible reports indicate plans to resign or otherwise vacate the seat before the term concludes in January 2027. These developments anchor trader consensus that departure is unlikely, reflected in the 65 percent probability assigned to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$69End Date
Jan 3, 2027Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tom Kean Jr. returned to the House floor on June 30, 2026, after a four-month absence for depression treatment that began in March, during which he missed over 100 votes. Since resuming duties he has issued multiple August 2026 announcements on local funding and constituent events while remaining the Republican nominee for reelection in New Jersey’s 7th district. No public statements, filings, or credible reports indicate plans to resign or otherwise vacate the seat before the term concludes in January 2027. These developments anchor trader consensus that departure is unlikely, reflected in the 65 percent probability assigned to “No.”
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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