Turkey’s ruling AK Party continues preparatory work on a new civilian constitution through its internal commission, with recent statements from Justice Minister Yilmaz Tunç and senior officials in May 2026 emphasizing the need to address national security threats and outdated provisions in the 1982 charter. However, advancing any formal draft or referendum requires at least 360 parliamentary votes out of 600 seats, a threshold that currently lacks cross-party backing amid opposition concerns over potential term-limit adjustments. Ongoing talks with the PKK and broader legislative priorities have further slowed momentum, leaving the process at the consultation stage without a firm 2026 timeline. Traders appear to price in these structural and political hurdles, viewing substantial progress toward adoption or major reform before year-end as unlikely under present conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
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Dec 31, 2026
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Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey’s ruling AK Party continues preparatory work on a new civilian constitution through its internal commission, with recent statements from Justice Minister Yilmaz Tunç and senior officials in May 2026 emphasizing the need to address national security threats and outdated provisions in the 1982 charter. However, advancing any formal draft or referendum requires at least 360 parliamentary votes out of 600 seats, a threshold that currently lacks cross-party backing amid opposition concerns over potential term-limit adjustments. Ongoing talks with the PKK and broader legislative priorities have further slowed momentum, leaving the process at the consultation stage without a firm 2026 timeline. Traders appear to price in these structural and political hurdles, viewing substantial progress toward adoption or major reform before year-end as unlikely under present conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$1,631End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey’s ruling AK Party continues preparatory work on a new civilian constitution through its internal commission, with recent statements from Justice Minister Yilmaz Tunç and senior officials in May 2026 emphasizing the need to address national security threats and outdated provisions in the 1982 charter. However, advancing any formal draft or referendum requires at least 360 parliamentary votes out of 600 seats, a threshold that currently lacks cross-party backing amid opposition concerns over potential term-limit adjustments. Ongoing talks with the PKK and broader legislative priorities have further slowed momentum, leaving the process at the consultation stage without a firm 2026 timeline. Traders appear to price in these structural and political hurdles, viewing substantial progress toward adoption or major reform before year-end as unlikely under present conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,631End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Turkey’s ruling AK Party continues preparatory work on a new civilian constitution through its internal commission, with recent statements from Justice Minister Yilmaz Tunç and senior officials in May 2026 emphasizing the need to address national security threats and outdated provisions in the 1982 charter. However, advancing any formal draft or referendum requires at least 360 parliamentary votes out of 600 seats, a threshold that currently lacks cross-party backing amid opposition concerns over potential term-limit adjustments. Ongoing talks with the PKK and broader legislative priorities have further slowed momentum, leaving the process at the consultation stage without a firm 2026 timeline. Traders appear to price in these structural and political hurdles, viewing substantial progress toward adoption or major reform before year-end as unlikely under present conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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