Midway through 2026, traders' 65.5% consensus on "No" stems from the absence of any parliamentary vote, official announcement, or draft submission for a constitutional referendum, as required for market resolution by year-end. Turkey's Justice Minister recently called for a new constitution amid security threats, but President Erdogan's AKP-MHP alliance holds only about 318 seats in the 600-member Grand National Assembly, falling short of the 360 needed to bypass presidential approval and send amendments directly to referendum. Erdogan denied term-extension motives in 2025 statements, redirecting focus to the 2028 presidential election amid economic challenges and opposition calls for early polls. No momentum has built despite past coalition pushes, with procedural hurdles and polarization dimming prospects for action this year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Midway through 2026, traders' 65.5% consensus on "No" stems from the absence of any parliamentary vote, official announcement, or draft submission for a constitutional referendum, as required for market resolution by year-end. Turkey's Justice Minister recently called for a new constitution amid security threats, but President Erdogan's AKP-MHP alliance holds only about 318 seats in the 600-member Grand National Assembly, falling short of the 360 needed to bypass presidential approval and send amendments directly to referendum. Erdogan denied term-extension motives in 2025 statements, redirecting focus to the 2028 presidential election amid economic challenges and opposition calls for early polls. No momentum has built despite past coalition pushes, with procedural hurdles and polarization dimming prospects for action this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Volume
$459End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Midway through 2026, traders' 65.5% consensus on "No" stems from the absence of any parliamentary vote, official announcement, or draft submission for a constitutional referendum, as required for market resolution by year-end. Turkey's Justice Minister recently called for a new constitution amid security threats, but President Erdogan's AKP-MHP alliance holds only about 318 seats in the 600-member Grand National Assembly, falling short of the 360 needed to bypass presidential approval and send amendments directly to referendum. Erdogan denied term-extension motives in 2025 statements, redirecting focus to the 2028 presidential election amid economic challenges and opposition calls for early polls. No momentum has built despite past coalition pushes, with procedural hurdles and polarization dimming prospects for action this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.
Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$459End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Midway through 2026, traders' 65.5% consensus on "No" stems from the absence of any parliamentary vote, official announcement, or draft submission for a constitutional referendum, as required for market resolution by year-end. Turkey's Justice Minister recently called for a new constitution amid security threats, but President Erdogan's AKP-MHP alliance holds only about 318 seats in the 600-member Grand National Assembly, falling short of the 360 needed to bypass presidential approval and send amendments directly to referendum. Erdogan denied term-extension motives in 2025 statements, redirecting focus to the 2028 presidential election amid economic challenges and opposition calls for early polls. No momentum has built despite past coalition pushes, with procedural hurdles and polarization dimming prospects for action this year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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