President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the ruling AK Party have intensified calls for a new civilian constitution in late September and early October 2026, with party officials completing preliminary drafting work and Erdoğan urging cross-party consensus during the parliamentary opening on October 1. He framed the effort as tied to the recent “Terror-Free Türkiye” framework law, which passed with 467 votes, and expressed hope that the current legislative year could become a “constitution year.” However, passage without a referendum requires at least 400 votes in the 600-seat parliament, a threshold the AK Party–MHP alliance has not reached, while opposition parties remain wary of any changes that could affect presidential term limits or the 1982 constitution’s core provisions. These procedural and political hurdles, combined with the limited time remaining in 2026, underpin traders’ strong consensus that meaningful movement on a new charter is unlikely before year-end.