Swiss voters face a closely contested referendum on June 14 featuring two national issues: the Swiss People's Party-backed "No to a Switzerland with 10 million!" popular initiative, which would cap permanent residents below 10 million by 2050 through immigration curbs, potential EU free movement suspension, and renegotiated agreements; and a facultative referendum on Civilian Service Act amendments tightening rules to require at least 150 days of service as an alternative to military duty. Recent polls from early May, including SBC and gfs.bern surveys, show neck-and-neck races on both, reflecting debates over infrastructure strain, economic reliance on foreign labor, and service equity amid steady campaign efforts by proponents and opponents like the Federal Council. Outcomes hinge on turnout and last-minute shifts typical in Swiss direct democracy.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSwitzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?
Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?
$102,152 Vol.
Jun 14, 2026
Civilian Service Act
76%
No to ten million Switzerland
33%
$102,152 Vol.
Civilian Service Act
$6,320 Vol.
76%
No to ten million Switzerland
$95,833 Vol.
33%
As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on June 14, 2026 :
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Swiss voters face a closely contested referendum on June 14 featuring two national issues: the Swiss People's Party-backed "No to a Switzerland with 10 million!" popular initiative, which would cap permanent residents below 10 million by 2050 through immigration curbs, potential EU free movement suspension, and renegotiated agreements; and a facultative referendum on Civilian Service Act amendments tightening rules to require at least 150 days of service as an alternative to military duty. Recent polls from early May, including SBC and gfs.bern surveys, show neck-and-neck races on both, reflecting debates over infrastructure strain, economic reliance on foreign labor, and service equity amid steady campaign efforts by proponents and opponents like the Federal Council. Outcomes hinge on turnout and last-minute shifts typical in Swiss direct democracy.
As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on June 14, 2026 :
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET
Volume
$102,152End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on June 14, 2026 :
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Swiss voters face a closely contested referendum on June 14 featuring two national issues: the Swiss People's Party-backed "No to a Switzerland with 10 million!" popular initiative, which would cap permanent residents below 10 million by 2050 through immigration curbs, potential EU free movement suspension, and renegotiated agreements; and a facultative referendum on Civilian Service Act amendments tightening rules to require at least 150 days of service as an alternative to military duty. Recent polls from early May, including SBC and gfs.bern surveys, show neck-and-neck races on both, reflecting debates over infrastructure strain, economic reliance on foreign labor, and service equity amid steady campaign efforts by proponents and opponents like the Federal Council. Outcomes hinge on turnout and last-minute shifts typical in Swiss direct democracy.
As of market creation, two referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on June 14, 2026 :
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
- Issue 1: No to ten million Switzerland
- Issue 2: Referendum on the Civilian Service Act
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the nationwide popular vote held in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery (https://www.admin.ch/gov/en/start/documentation/votes/20260308.html) and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Volume
$102,152End Date
Jun 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Swiss voters face a closely contested referendum on June 14 featuring two national issues: the Swiss People's Party-backed "No to a Switzerland with 10 million!" popular initiative, which would cap permanent residents below 10 million by 2050 through immigration curbs, potential EU free movement suspension, and renegotiated agreements; and a facultative referendum on Civilian Service Act amendments tightening rules to require at least 150 days of service as an alternative to military duty. Recent polls from early May, including SBC and gfs.bern surveys, show neck-and-neck races on both, reflecting debates over infrastructure strain, economic reliance on foreign labor, and service equity amid steady campaign efforts by proponents and opponents like the Federal Council. Outcomes hinge on turnout and last-minute shifts typical in Swiss direct democracy.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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