**US and Iranian officials reached a tentative memorandum of understanding in mid-June 2026 to end recent hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of follow-on talks on nuclear issues and sanctions relief.** The framework has been virtually signed by President Trump, Vice President Vance, and Iranian parliamentary leadership, with a formal signing ceremony scheduled in Switzerland for Friday, June 19. Iranian negotiators have stated the text is finalized and will be published after signing, while U.S. statements indicate the full document will be released publicly in a formal setting soon. Iranian state media have published purported 14-point drafts, but the official U.S.-Iran text remains unreleased as of June 17. Traders assign very high probability to release by June 30, reflecting expectations that the document will be made available shortly after the imminent signing, with limited barriers to prompt disclosure once the ceremony occurs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUS-Iran deal text released by...?
$304,474 Обс.
June 16
15%
June 17
42%
June 19
86%
June 30
95%
$304,474 Обс.
June 16
15%
June 17
42%
June 19
86%
June 30
95%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 15, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.
The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify.
A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement.
A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.
The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**US and Iranian officials reached a tentative memorandum of understanding in mid-June 2026 to end recent hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of follow-on talks on nuclear issues and sanctions relief.** The framework has been virtually signed by President Trump, Vice President Vance, and Iranian parliamentary leadership, with a formal signing ceremony scheduled in Switzerland for Friday, June 19. Iranian negotiators have stated the text is finalized and will be published after signing, while U.S. statements indicate the full document will be released publicly in a formal setting soon. Iranian state media have published purported 14-point drafts, but the official U.S.-Iran text remains unreleased as of June 17. Traders assign very high probability to release by June 30, reflecting expectations that the document will be made available shortly after the imminent signing, with limited barriers to prompt disclosure once the ceremony occurs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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