**No recent legislative or executive actions have authorized conscription.** The U.S. has maintained an all-volunteer force since 1973, with Selective Service registration serving only as a standby mechanism. The 2026 National Defense Authorization Act, signed in December 2025, mandates automatic registration for eligible men beginning December 2026 to streamline existing processes using federal data, but this change affects only registration—not draft authorization or induction. Officials have stated there are no current plans for compulsory service, even amid ongoing foreign policy developments. Reinstating a draft would require new, specific congressional legislation and presidential approval tied to a declared national emergency exceeding volunteer capacity, a threshold that remains unmet as of mid-2026. Trader consensus at 93.5% “No” aligns with this high procedural and political barrier.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$444,145 Vol.
$444,145 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$444,145 Vol.
$444,145 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No recent legislative or executive actions have authorized conscription.** The U.S. has maintained an all-volunteer force since 1973, with Selective Service registration serving only as a standby mechanism. The 2026 National Defense Authorization Act, signed in December 2025, mandates automatic registration for eligible men beginning December 2026 to streamline existing processes using federal data, but this change affects only registration—not draft authorization or induction. Officials have stated there are no current plans for compulsory service, even amid ongoing foreign policy developments. Reinstating a draft would require new, specific congressional legislation and presidential approval tied to a declared national emergency exceeding volunteer capacity, a threshold that remains unmet as of mid-2026. Trader consensus at 93.5% “No” aligns with this high procedural and political barrier.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
Volume
$444,145Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No recent legislative or executive actions have authorized conscription.** The U.S. has maintained an all-volunteer force since 1973, with Selective Service registration serving only as a standby mechanism. The 2026 National Defense Authorization Act, signed in December 2025, mandates automatic registration for eligible men beginning December 2026 to streamline existing processes using federal data, but this change affects only registration—not draft authorization or induction. Officials have stated there are no current plans for compulsory service, even amid ongoing foreign policy developments. Reinstating a draft would require new, specific congressional legislation and presidential approval tied to a declared national emergency exceeding volunteer capacity, a threshold that remains unmet as of mid-2026. Trader consensus at 93.5% “No” aligns with this high procedural and political barrier.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$444,145Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No recent legislative or executive actions have authorized conscription.** The U.S. has maintained an all-volunteer force since 1973, with Selective Service registration serving only as a standby mechanism. The 2026 National Defense Authorization Act, signed in December 2025, mandates automatic registration for eligible men beginning December 2026 to streamline existing processes using federal data, but this change affects only registration—not draft authorization or induction. Officials have stated there are no current plans for compulsory service, even amid ongoing foreign policy developments. Reinstating a draft would require new, specific congressional legislation and presidential approval tied to a declared national emergency exceeding volunteer capacity, a threshold that remains unmet as of mid-2026. Trader consensus at 93.5% “No” aligns with this high procedural and political barrier.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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