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What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Those Who Wish Me Dead 100.0%

The Whisper Man 4.9%

Why Did I Get Married Again? <1%

Turning Point: Generation 9/11 <1%

Polymarket

$10,662 Vol.

Those Who Wish Me Dead 100.0%

The Whisper Man 4.9%

Why Did I Get Married Again? <1%

Turning Point: Generation 9/11 <1%

Polymarket

$10,662 Vol.

icon for Why Did I Get Married Again?

Why Did I Get Married Again?

$421 Vol.

No

icon for The Whisper Man

The Whisper Man

$2,749 Vol.

No

icon for Turning Point: Generation 9/11

Turning Point: Generation 9/11

$1,480 Vol.

No

icon for Those Who Wish Me Dead

Those Who Wish Me Dead

$4,775 Vol.

Yes

icon for Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

$436 Vol.

No

icon for The Secret Woman

The Secret Woman

$802 Vol.

No

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Those Who Wish Me Dead commands a 100% implied probability as the likely #2 US Netflix title this week, underscoring overwhelming trader consensus around its current chart trajectory and audience retention. With several alternatives clustered around 50% and others near zero, markets appear to price in limited near-term disruption from new releases or viral surges. Netflix ranking dynamics often favor titles already in rotation through the week, supported by steady streaming metrics rather than sudden spikes. An upset remains possible if a high-profile premiere or algorithmic boost elevates a competitor before the period closes, though historical patterns show such shifts are uncommon without major promotional catalysts.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$10,662
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 7:49 PM ET

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Those Who Wish Me Dead commands a 100% implied probability as the likely #2 US Netflix title this week, underscoring overwhelming trader consensus around its current chart trajectory and audience retention. With several alternatives clustered around 50% and others near zero, markets appear to price in limited near-term disruption from new releases or viral surges. Netflix ranking dynamics often favor titles already in rotation through the week, supported by steady streaming metrics rather than sudden spikes. An upset remains possible if a high-profile premiere or algorithmic boost elevates a competitor before the period closes, though historical patterns show such shifts are uncommon without major promotional catalysts.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$10,662
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 7:49 PM ET

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Those Who Wish Me Dead" at 100%, followed by "Why Did I Get Married Again?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" has generated $10.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is "Those Who Wish Me Dead" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Why Did I Get Married Again?" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.