Recent housing data show modest year-over-year appreciation in Chicago amid persistently low inventory and mortgage rates near 6%, supporting trader focus on the $342k–$345k bin at 20% implied probability. Zillow’s Home Value Index stood near $326k as of late May 2026 with 3.5% annual gains, while Redfin median sale prices reached $420k in the three months ending May, reflecting different methodologies and competitive bidding. With resolution only weeks away, limited further movement is expected before June 30, keeping probabilities closely clustered as traders weigh seasonal demand, potential data revisions, and supply constraints that have driven steady but not accelerated price growth.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$342k - $345k 20%
$339k - $342k 16%
$354k से अधिक 14%
$348k - $351k 13%
<$339k
36%
$339k - $342k
16%
$342k - $345k
20%
$345k - $348k
9%
$348k - $351k
11%
$351k - $354k
7%
$354k से अधिक
11%
$342k - $345k 20%
$339k - $342k 16%
$354k से अधिक 14%
$348k - $351k 13%
<$339k
36%
$339k - $342k
16%
$342k - $345k
20%
$345k - $348k
9%
$348k - $351k
11%
$351k - $354k
7%
$354k से अधिक
11%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent housing data show modest year-over-year appreciation in Chicago amid persistently low inventory and mortgage rates near 6%, supporting trader focus on the $342k–$345k bin at 20% implied probability. Zillow’s Home Value Index stood near $326k as of late May 2026 with 3.5% annual gains, while Redfin median sale prices reached $420k in the three months ending May, reflecting different methodologies and competitive bidding. With resolution only weeks away, limited further movement is expected before June 30, keeping probabilities closely clustered as traders weigh seasonal demand, potential data revisions, and supply constraints that have driven steady but not accelerated price growth.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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