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Politics·Denmark

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

icon for Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?
Politics·Denmark

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

$123,530 Vol.

Mar 24, 2026
Polymarket

$123,530 Vol.

Polymarket

Moderates

$4,811 Vol.

93%

Danish Social Liberal Party

$2,272 Vol.

88%

Social Democrats

$3,856 Vol.

90%

Green Left

$41,163 Vol.

61%

Conservative People’s Party

$427 Vol.

33%

Venstre

$16,994 Vol.

37%

Liberal Alliance

$9,921 Vol.

11%

Naleraq

$1,516 Vol.

4%

Red–Green Alliance

$2,502 Vol.

26%

Denmark Democrats

$5,158 Vol.

4%

Danish People’s Party

$4,922 Vol.

4%

Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands)

$13,828 Vol.

3%

Inuit Ataqatigiit

$1,426 Vol.

2%

The Alternative

$4,130 Vol.

1%

Citizens’ Party

$3,352 Vol.

14%

Union Party

$7,250 Vol.

<1%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Following Denmark's snap Folketing election on March 24, 2026, no bloc secured a majority of the 179 seats, with Social Democrats holding the most at 38 but facing fragmented results amid gains for Liberal Alliance, Danish People's Party, and Green Left. Coalition negotiations, ongoing for seven weeks, shifted decisively on May 8 when King Frederik X tasked Venstre leader and caretaker Defense Minister Troels Lund Poulsen as formateur after Mette Frederiksen's center-left bid failed, blocked by Moderates' opposition to Red-Green Alliance involvement. Poulsen restarted talks on May 11 with a two-week mandate, prioritizing a potential center-right coalition of Venstre, Conservatives, Moderates, Liberal Alliance, Danish People's Party, and Denmark Democrats (97 seats possible), while Moderates remain key kingmakers. Traders watch for breakthroughs amid policy sticking points on immigration, economy, and Greenland autonomy before a possible next mandate.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Volume
$123,530
End Date
Mar 24, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.Following Denmark's snap Folketing election on March 24, 2026, no bloc secured a majority of the 179 seats, with Social Democrats holding the most at 38 but facing fragmented results amid gains for Liberal Alliance, Danish People's Party, and Green Left. Coalition negotiations, ongoing for seven weeks, shifted decisively on May 8 when King Frederik X tasked Venstre leader and caretaker Defense Minister Troels Lund Poulsen as formateur after Mette Frederiksen's center-left bid failed, blocked by Moderates' opposition to Red-Green Alliance involvement. Poulsen restarted talks on May 11 with a two-week mandate, prioritizing a potential center-right coalition of Venstre, Conservatives, Moderates, Liberal Alliance, Danish People's Party, and Denmark Democrats (97 seats possible), while Moderates remain key kingmakers. Traders watch for breakthroughs amid policy sticking points on immigration, economy, and Greenland autonomy before a possible next mandate.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Volume
$123,530
End Date
Mar 24, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Moderates" at 93%, followed by "Social Democrats" at 90%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?" has generated $123.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?" is "Moderates" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Social Democrats" at 90%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.