Iran has conducted repeated drone and missile strikes on Kurdish opposition camps and other targets in Iraq's Kurdistan Region since February 2026, exceeding 1,000 incidents amid broader regional conflict involving the United States and Israel. Recent attacks on October 8 and 12 targeted dissident groups near Erbil and Koya, fitting the pattern of Iranian-initiated actions against perceived threats. The full U.S. troop withdrawal by September 30 has expanded Tehran's operational space, while high-level diplomatic talks on October 14 between Iranian and Iraqi officials focused on containing tensions and expanding bilateral cooperation. Upcoming parliamentary elections in Iraq on November 11 and ongoing militia coordination add variables that could influence further strikes or de-escalation.
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