MicroStrategy (MSTR) shares surged 16% to close at $153.92 on September 18 amid a Bitcoin rebound above $81,000 and the SEC’s five-year exemption allowing 24/7 tokenized stock trading, boosting sentiment toward crypto-linked equities. The firm holds 845,050 BTC acquired at an average $75,412 per coin, representing roughly 4% of total supply and serving as the dominant driver of its leveraged equity performance relative to Bitcoin spot moves. Recent capital actions include doubling the STRC preferred stock repurchase program to $2 billion and executing $176 million in buybacks funded from USD reserves exceeding $1.4 billion. No major earnings release is scheduled until late October, though the CoinDesk Policy and Regulation conference on September 22 could introduce fresh regulatory signals. Market-implied odds for weekly price thresholds will hinge primarily on near-term Bitcoin volatility and broader risk appetite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $185
5%
↑ $180
10%
↑ $175
16%
↑ $170
28%
↑ $165
44%
↑ $160
65%
↑ $155
88%
↓ $150
78%
↓ $145
53%
↓ $140
32%
↓ $135
17%
↓ $130
8%
↓ $125
12%
↓ $120
14%
$554 Vol.
↑ $185
5%
↑ $180
10%
↑ $175
16%
↑ $170
28%
↑ $165
44%
↑ $160
65%
↑ $155
88%
↓ $150
78%
↓ $145
53%
↓ $140
32%
↓ $135
17%
↓ $130
8%
↓ $125
12%
↓ $120
14%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the MicroStrategy (MSTR) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the MicroStrategy (MSTR) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSTR%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...MicroStrategy (MSTR) shares surged 16% to close at $153.92 on September 18 amid a Bitcoin rebound above $81,000 and the SEC’s five-year exemption allowing 24/7 tokenized stock trading, boosting sentiment toward crypto-linked equities. The firm holds 845,050 BTC acquired at an average $75,412 per coin, representing roughly 4% of total supply and serving as the dominant driver of its leveraged equity performance relative to Bitcoin spot moves. Recent capital actions include doubling the STRC preferred stock repurchase program to $2 billion and executing $176 million in buybacks funded from USD reserves exceeding $1.4 billion. No major earnings release is scheduled until late October, though the CoinDesk Policy and Regulation conference on September 22 could introduce fresh regulatory signals. Market-implied odds for weekly price thresholds will hinge primarily on near-term Bitcoin volatility and broader risk appetite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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