Trump has issued only a handful of vetoes early in his second term and none reported since early 2026, favoring tools such as signature withholding, reconciliation, and leverage over spending or election measures. In June and July, he declined to sign the bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act—passed by wide margins in both chambers—allowing it to become law without his approval in protest over stalled voter ID legislation rather than exercising a formal veto that could have faced override. Recent bipartisan measures, including a September Russia-Iran sanctions package, have cleared Congress with expectations of presidential approval. With Republican majorities aligned on priorities and midterms approaching, the volume of bills likely to reach the president in conflict with White House positions has narrowed, supporting trader views that the odds of any veto through December remain below even.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated33% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
33% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trump has issued only a handful of vetoes early in his second term and none reported since early 2026, favoring tools such as signature withholding, reconciliation, and leverage over spending or election measures. In June and July, he declined to sign the bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act—passed by wide margins in both chambers—allowing it to become law without his approval in protest over stalled voter ID legislation rather than exercising a formal veto that could have faced override. Recent bipartisan measures, including a September Russia-Iran sanctions package, have cleared Congress with expectations of presidential approval. With Republican majorities aligned on priorities and midterms approaching, the volume of bills likely to reach the president in conflict with White House positions has narrowed, supporting trader views that the odds of any veto through December remain below even.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Volume
$5,326End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trump has issued only a handful of vetoes early in his second term and none reported since early 2026, favoring tools such as signature withholding, reconciliation, and leverage over spending or election measures. In June and July, he declined to sign the bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act—passed by wide margins in both chambers—allowing it to become law without his approval in protest over stalled voter ID legislation rather than exercising a formal veto that could have faced override. Recent bipartisan measures, including a September Russia-Iran sanctions package, have cleared Congress with expectations of presidential approval. With Republican majorities aligned on priorities and midterms approaching, the volume of bills likely to reach the president in conflict with White House positions has narrowed, supporting trader views that the odds of any veto through December remain below even.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,326End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump has issued only a handful of vetoes early in his second term and none reported since early 2026, favoring tools such as signature withholding, reconciliation, and leverage over spending or election measures. In June and July, he declined to sign the bipartisan 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act—passed by wide margins in both chambers—allowing it to become law without his approval in protest over stalled voter ID legislation rather than exercising a formal veto that could have faced override. Recent bipartisan measures, including a September Russia-Iran sanctions package, have cleared Congress with expectations of presidential approval. With Republican majorities aligned on priorities and midterms approaching, the volume of bills likely to reach the president in conflict with White House positions has narrowed, supporting trader views that the odds of any veto through December remain below even.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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