Zohran Mamdani assumed the New York City mayoralty on January 1, 2026, following his 2025 election victory, and has maintained a stable position through September 2026 with approval ratings near 58 percent that have risen amid policy advances on universal childcare funding, rent stabilization, and budget deficit closure. Traders assign 97.2 percent probability to his remaining in office through December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of scandals, indictments, health crises, or credible recall campaigns, combined with the high procedural thresholds for removal under the city charter, including gubernatorial action requiring due process or a supermajority vote by the Inability Committee. Recent developments such as meetings with President Trump on housing and immigration, public releases of 9/11 records, and coalition-building with state officials have reinforced continuity. Low-probability shifts could still arise from unforeseen incapacity, major ethical findings prompting gubernatorial intervention, or an unexpected resignation before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
$73,938 Vol.
$73,938 Vol.
$73,938 Vol.
$73,938 Vol.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 5:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Zohran Mamdani assumed the New York City mayoralty on January 1, 2026, following his 2025 election victory, and has maintained a stable position through September 2026 with approval ratings near 58 percent that have risen amid policy advances on universal childcare funding, rent stabilization, and budget deficit closure. Traders assign 97.2 percent probability to his remaining in office through December 31, 2026, reflecting the absence of scandals, indictments, health crises, or credible recall campaigns, combined with the high procedural thresholds for removal under the city charter, including gubernatorial action requiring due process or a supermajority vote by the Inability Committee. Recent developments such as meetings with President Trump on housing and immigration, public releases of 9/11 records, and coalition-building with state officials have reinforced continuity. Low-probability shifts could still arise from unforeseen incapacity, major ethical findings prompting gubernatorial intervention, or an unexpected resignation before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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