Zohran Mamdani, elected in November 2025 and inaugurated January 1, 2026, holds a four-year term ending in 2030 and has governed without major scandals, legal actions, or health events that could force an early exit. Recent developments include budget deficit resolution with state aid, rent stabilization freezes, expanded childcare funding, street repairs, and diplomatic engagement including a September 2026 meeting with President Trump at Gracie Mansion. His approval ratings have held steady amid policy implementation on affordability and public works, reflecting broad trader consensus that he will remain in office through December 31, 2026. While the 97.2% probability on “No” aligns with the absence of removal triggers, low-probability shifts could still arise from sudden institutional pressures, personal circumstances, or unforeseen controversies before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
3% chance
$73,938 Vol.
$73,938 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
3% chance
$73,938 Vol.
$73,938 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Zohran Mamdani, elected in November 2025 and inaugurated January 1, 2026, holds a four-year term ending in 2030 and has governed without major scandals, legal actions, or health events that could force an early exit. Recent developments include budget deficit resolution with state aid, rent stabilization freezes, expanded childcare funding, street repairs, and diplomatic engagement including a September 2026 meeting with President Trump at Gracie Mansion. His approval ratings have held steady amid policy implementation on affordability and public works, reflecting broad trader consensus that he will remain in office through December 31, 2026. While the 97.2% probability on “No” aligns with the absence of removal triggers, low-probability shifts could still arise from sudden institutional pressures, personal circumstances, or unforeseen controversies before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 5:25 PM ET
Volume
$73,938End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Zohran Mamdani, elected in November 2025 and inaugurated January 1, 2026, holds a four-year term ending in 2030 and has governed without major scandals, legal actions, or health events that could force an early exit. Recent developments include budget deficit resolution with state aid, rent stabilization freezes, expanded childcare funding, street repairs, and diplomatic engagement including a September 2026 meeting with President Trump at Gracie Mansion. His approval ratings have held steady amid policy implementation on affordability and public works, reflecting broad trader consensus that he will remain in office through December 31, 2026. While the 97.2% probability on “No” aligns with the absence of removal triggers, low-probability shifts could still arise from sudden institutional pressures, personal circumstances, or unforeseen controversies before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”
An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$73,938End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Zohran Mamdani, elected in November 2025 and inaugurated January 1, 2026, holds a four-year term ending in 2030 and has governed without major scandals, legal actions, or health events that could force an early exit. Recent developments include budget deficit resolution with state aid, rent stabilization freezes, expanded childcare funding, street repairs, and diplomatic engagement including a September 2026 meeting with President Trump at Gracie Mansion. His approval ratings have held steady amid policy implementation on affordability and public works, reflecting broad trader consensus that he will remain in office through December 31, 2026. While the 97.2% probability on “No” aligns with the absence of removal triggers, low-probability shifts could still arise from sudden institutional pressures, personal circumstances, or unforeseen controversies before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions