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icon for Élection présidentielle française de 2027 : candidat du Rassemblement national
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Élection présidentielle française de 2027 : candidat du Rassemblement national

icon for Élection présidentielle française de 2027 : candidat du Rassemblement national
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Élection présidentielle française de 2027 : candidat du Rassemblement national

Jordan Bardella 74%

Marine Le Pen 25%

Multiple Candidates 3.4%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Jordan Bardella 74%

Marine Le Pen 25%

Multiple Candidates 3.4%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Marine Le Pen

$1,058 Vol.

25%

Jordan Bardella

$2,120 Vol.

74%

Multiple Candidates

$554 Vol.

3%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election. A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election. If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jordan Bardella leads trader consensus for the National Rally nomination in France’s two-round 2027 presidential election due to Marine Le Pen’s March 2025 conviction for misusing European Parliament funds and the resulting five-year ineligibility sentence. Her July 2026 appeal remains the pivotal upcoming event that could restore her eligibility or confirm the ban, leaving Bardella—the party president and presumptive successor—as the default choice in most scenarios. Recent RN gains in March 2026 municipal elections, combined with consistent first-round polling leads for Bardella over other contenders, have reinforced this positioning. The market reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing these procedural and polling dynamics rather than any guaranteed outcome.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.

A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.

If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.

If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,732
Date de fin
23 avr. 2027
Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election. A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election. If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election. A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election. If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jordan Bardella leads trader consensus for the National Rally nomination in France’s two-round 2027 presidential election due to Marine Le Pen’s March 2025 conviction for misusing European Parliament funds and the resulting five-year ineligibility sentence. Her July 2026 appeal remains the pivotal upcoming event that could restore her eligibility or confirm the ban, leaving Bardella—the party president and presumptive successor—as the default choice in most scenarios. Recent RN gains in March 2026 municipal elections, combined with consistent first-round polling leads for Bardella over other contenders, have reinforced this positioning. The market reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing these procedural and polling dynamics rather than any guaranteed outcome.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election.

A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election.

If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”.

If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,732
Date de fin
23 avr. 2027
Marché ouvert
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election. A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election. If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection présidentielle française de 2027 : candidat du Rassemblement national » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Jordan Bardella » à 74%, suivi de « Marine Le Pen » à 25%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 74¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 74% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection présidentielle française de 2027 : candidat du Rassemblement national » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le May 1, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection présidentielle française de 2027 : candidat du Rassemblement national », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection présidentielle française de 2027 : candidat du Rassemblement national » est « Jordan Bardella » à 74%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 74% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Marine Le Pen » à 25%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection présidentielle française de 2027 : candidat du Rassemblement national » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.