Trader consensus holds at a razor-thin 50% implied probability for yes, reflecting uncertainty over whether the White House-registered aliens.gov domain—secured in March amid President Trump's UAP disclosure pledges—will be officially confirmed by DHS, ICE, or another executive agency as an immigration resource by December 31, 2026. Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's May 9 clarification that the site is unrelated to UFOs and pertains to immigration enforcement has boosted yes odds from earlier lows, aligning with Trump administration actions like public illegal alien databases and self-deportation registration drives via DHS. However, lacking an unambiguous on-the-record executive announcement or live site featuring border security or alien registration content keeps the market balanced. Odds could tip yes on a DHS press release or portal launch; no if repurposed for UAP files or unresolved by deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$185,404 Vol.
$185,404 Vol.
Oui
$185,404 Vol.
$185,404 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government officially announces or confirms that “aliens.gov” or "alien.gov" is intended for immigration-related purposes, or if the website becomes publicly accessible and its content is clearly and predominantly related to U.S. immigration or information for or about non-citizens (“aliens”), by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For announcements to qualify, they must be official. For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity.
If either website becomes publicly accessible and its content is clearly and predominantly related to extraterrestrial/UFO topics or any subject not primarily related to immigration, or if any qualifying announcement or confirmation establishes that the domains are intended for such non-immigration-related purposes, this market will resolve to "No".
Informal statements, placeholder pages, inactive domains, or any content that is not clearly indicative of the domains' primary purpose will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government officially announces or confirms that “aliens.gov” or "alien.gov" is intended for immigration-related purposes, or if the website becomes publicly accessible and its content is clearly and predominantly related to U.S. immigration or information for or about non-citizens (“aliens”), by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For announcements to qualify, they must be official. For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity.
If either website becomes publicly accessible and its content is clearly and predominantly related to extraterrestrial/UFO topics or any subject not primarily related to immigration, or if any qualifying announcement or confirmation establishes that the domains are intended for such non-immigration-related purposes, this market will resolve to "No".
Informal statements, placeholder pages, inactive domains, or any content that is not clearly indicative of the domains' primary purpose will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus holds at a razor-thin 50% implied probability for yes, reflecting uncertainty over whether the White House-registered aliens.gov domain—secured in March amid President Trump's UAP disclosure pledges—will be officially confirmed by DHS, ICE, or another executive agency as an immigration resource by December 31, 2026. Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's May 9 clarification that the site is unrelated to UFOs and pertains to immigration enforcement has boosted yes odds from earlier lows, aligning with Trump administration actions like public illegal alien databases and self-deportation registration drives via DHS. However, lacking an unambiguous on-the-record executive announcement or live site featuring border security or alien registration content keeps the market balanced. Odds could tip yes on a DHS press release or portal launch; no if repurposed for UAP files or unresolved by deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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