Traders assign overwhelming odds to no change in the Bank of Mexico’s policy rate at its June meeting, reflecting recent inflation data that have held steady near the 3 percent target alongside resilient but non-accelerating growth. Banxico’s latest communications have underscored a cautious, data-dependent stance, with officials highlighting sticky services prices and external risks from U.S. monetary policy and global trade flows. Market-implied probabilities embed this baseline view ahead of the next inflation release and labor-market prints that could still shift expectations. A sharper disinflation surprise or marked deterioration in economic activity would be required to reopen the case for an immediate cut.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBank of Mexico Decision in June
No change 91.7%
Decrease 5.8%
Increase 3.7%
$10,987 Vol.
$10,987 Vol.
Decrease
6%
No change
92%
Increase
4%
No change 91.7%
Decrease 5.8%
Increase 3.7%
$10,987 Vol.
$10,987 Vol.
Decrease
6%
No change
92%
Increase
4%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign overwhelming odds to no change in the Bank of Mexico’s policy rate at its June meeting, reflecting recent inflation data that have held steady near the 3 percent target alongside resilient but non-accelerating growth. Banxico’s latest communications have underscored a cautious, data-dependent stance, with officials highlighting sticky services prices and external risks from U.S. monetary policy and global trade flows. Market-implied probabilities embed this baseline view ahead of the next inflation release and labor-market prints that could still shift expectations. A sharper disinflation surprise or marked deterioration in economic activity would be required to reopen the case for an immediate cut.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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