Skip to main content
icon for CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner

CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner

CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Manny Rutinel 95%

Shannon Bird 5%

John Szemler <1%

Amie Baca-Oehlert <1%

Polymarket

$53,629 Vol.

Manny Rutinel 95%

Shannon Bird 5%

John Szemler <1%

Amie Baca-Oehlert <1%

Polymarket

$53,629 Vol.

Manny Rutinel

$24,323 Vol.

95%

Shannon Bird

$19,829 Vol.

5%

John Szemler

$2,445 Vol.

<1%

Amie Baca-Oehlert

$3,586 Vol.

<1%

Yadira Caraveo

$1,379 Vol.

<1%

Dave Young

$2,066 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Manny Rutinel holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the June 30 Democratic primary in Colorado’s 8th Congressional District, reflecting his stronger fundraising totals, recent union and Hispanic Caucus endorsements, and positioning as the more progressive option in a race that has consolidated around two main candidates.** Former state representative Shannon Bird remains competitive through agricultural and rural PAC support plus her record of legislative effectiveness, though she trails in overall resources and national backing. Other entrants, including former U.S. Representative Yadira Caraveo and Amie Baca-Oehlert, have withdrawn or endorsed Rutinel, narrowing the contest. A June 9 debate and ongoing door-knocking efforts have kept both candidates visible in the suburban and agricultural portions of the district. The market’s pricing aligns with the late-stage dynamics of a closely watched primary where endorsements and spending patterns have shifted momentum toward Rutinel in the final weeks before voters decide.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$53,629
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Manny Rutinel holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the June 30 Democratic primary in Colorado’s 8th Congressional District, reflecting his stronger fundraising totals, recent union and Hispanic Caucus endorsements, and positioning as the more progressive option in a race that has consolidated around two main candidates.** Former state representative Shannon Bird remains competitive through agricultural and rural PAC support plus her record of legislative effectiveness, though she trails in overall resources and national backing. Other entrants, including former U.S. Representative Yadira Caraveo and Amie Baca-Oehlert, have withdrawn or endorsed Rutinel, narrowing the contest. A June 9 debate and ongoing door-knocking efforts have kept both candidates visible in the suburban and agricultural portions of the district. The market’s pricing aligns with the late-stage dynamics of a closely watched primary where endorsements and spending patterns have shifted momentum toward Rutinel in the final weeks before voters decide.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$53,629
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Manny Rutinel » à 95%, suivi de « Shannon Bird » à 5%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 95¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner » a généré $53.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 25, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner » est « Manny Rutinel » à 95%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Shannon Bird » à 5%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.