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Politique·Élections Mondiales

Élection présidentielle colombienne 1er tour : 2e place

icon for Élection présidentielle colombienne 1er tour : 2e place
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Élection présidentielle colombienne 1er tour : 2e place

Abelardo de la Espriella 71%

Paloma Valencia 18%

Iván Cepeda Castro 10.9%

Claudia López <1%

Polymarket

$90,132 Vol.

Abelardo de la Espriella 71%

Paloma Valencia 18%

Iván Cepeda Castro 10.9%

Claudia López <1%

Polymarket

$90,132 Vol.

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$9,545 Vol.

71%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$13,316 Vol.

18%

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$9,665 Vol.

11%

icon for Claudia López

Claudia López

$5,017 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo

Sergio Fajardo

$4,707 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germán Vargas Lleras

Germán Vargas Lleras

$4,254 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar

Gustavo Bolívar

$4,093 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán

Juan Manuel Galán

$3,492 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$4,904 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$3,584 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$3,550 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vicky Dávila

Vicky Dávila

$4,471 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez

David Luna Sánchez

$3,585 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo

Juan Daniel Oviedo

$4,127 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$4,086 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo

Luis Gilberto Murillo

$4,205 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$3,532 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling indicates that Abelardo de la Espriella maintains a lead or statistical tie with Paloma Valencia for second place behind frontrunner Iván Cepeda in the May 31 first round, as conservative voters remain divided between de la Espriella’s outsider security platform modeled on hard-line approaches to crime and drug trafficking and Valencia’s center-right positioning backed by established party networks. De la Espriella’s movement has drawn consistent support in weighted surveys through emphasis on military actions against armed groups, while Valencia’s recent gains in primaries and regional outreach have narrowed gaps in some readings. With under two weeks until voting, trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the split right-wing electorate and limited movement among centrist candidates such as Sergio Fajardo and Claudia López.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$90,132
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling indicates that Abelardo de la Espriella maintains a lead or statistical tie with Paloma Valencia for second place behind frontrunner Iván Cepeda in the May 31 first round, as conservative voters remain divided between de la Espriella’s outsider security platform modeled on hard-line approaches to crime and drug trafficking and Valencia’s center-right positioning backed by established party networks. De la Espriella’s movement has drawn consistent support in weighted surveys through emphasis on military actions against armed groups, while Valencia’s recent gains in primaries and regional outreach have narrowed gaps in some readings. With under two weeks until voting, trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the split right-wing electorate and limited movement among centrist candidates such as Sergio Fajardo and Claudia López.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$90,132
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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Questions fréquentes

« Élection présidentielle colombienne 1er tour : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 17 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Abelardo de la Espriella » à 71%, suivi de « Paloma Valencia » à 18%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 71¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 71% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection présidentielle colombienne 1er tour : 2e place » a généré $90.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 21, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection présidentielle colombienne 1er tour : 2e place », parcourez les 17 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection présidentielle colombienne 1er tour : 2e place » est « Abelardo de la Espriella » à 71%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 71% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Paloma Valencia » à 18%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection présidentielle colombienne 1er tour : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.