Databricks' data and AI platform has yet to file an S-1 registration with the SEC as of mid-2026, despite a $134 billion private valuation from its December 2025 Series L round and subsequent debt financing that positioned the company as IPO-ready. Typical regulatory timelines for large enterprise software listings mean any public debut is now projected for late 2026 or early 2027 at the earliest, driving the overwhelming 91% market-implied probability of no IPO closing by June 30. This consensus reflects verified preparation signals rather than speculation, though faster market conditions or an unexpected Q3 filing could still shift timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026 91.1%
200–250 Md$ 2.2%
125–150 milliards 1.2%
250 milliards $+ 1.0%
$404,647 Vol.
$404,647 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<100 Mds $
<1%
100–125 mds
<1%
125–150 milliards
1%
150–175 Md$
<1%
175–200 milliards
<1%
200–250 Md$
2%
250 milliards $+
1%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026
91%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026 91.1%
200–250 Md$ 2.2%
125–150 milliards 1.2%
250 milliards $+ 1.0%
$404,647 Vol.
$404,647 Vol.
30 juin 2026
<100 Mds $
$33,256 Vol.
<1%
100–125 mds
$62,208 Vol.
<1%
125–150 milliards
$26,697 Vol.
1%
150–175 Md$
$59,916 Vol.
<1%
175–200 milliards
$58,169 Vol.
<1%
200–250 Md$
$21,131 Vol.
2%
250 milliards $+
$126,782 Vol.
1%
Pas d'introduction en bourse d'ici le 30 juin 2026
$16,488 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Databricks' data and AI platform has yet to file an S-1 registration with the SEC as of mid-2026, despite a $134 billion private valuation from its December 2025 Series L round and subsequent debt financing that positioned the company as IPO-ready. Typical regulatory timelines for large enterprise software listings mean any public debut is now projected for late 2026 or early 2027 at the earliest, driving the overwhelming 91% market-implied probability of no IPO closing by June 30. This consensus reflects verified preparation signals rather than speculation, though faster market conditions or an unexpected Q3 filing could still shift timelines.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volume
$404,647Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Databricks' data and AI platform has yet to file an S-1 registration with the SEC as of mid-2026, despite a $134 billion private valuation from its December 2025 Series L round and subsequent debt financing that positioned the company as IPO-ready. Typical regulatory timelines for large enterprise software listings mean any public debut is now projected for late 2026 or early 2027 at the earliest, driving the overwhelming 91% market-implied probability of no IPO closing by June 30. This consensus reflects verified preparation signals rather than speculation, though faster market conditions or an unexpected Q3 filing could still shift timelines.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$404,647Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Databricks' data and AI platform has yet to file an S-1 registration with the SEC as of mid-2026, despite a $134 billion private valuation from its December 2025 Series L round and subsequent debt financing that positioned the company as IPO-ready. Typical regulatory timelines for large enterprise software listings mean any public debut is now projected for late 2026 or early 2027 at the earliest, driving the overwhelming 91% market-implied probability of no IPO closing by June 30. This consensus reflects verified preparation signals rather than speculation, though faster market conditions or an unexpected Q3 filing could still shift timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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