The Republican primary for Florida's 14th congressional district, set for August 18, features a crowded field narrowed to a contest between state Rep. Kevin Steele and former state Rep. Mike Beltran, with both candidates drawing from Tampa Bay-area legislative experience in a newly redrawn district favoring Republicans. Recent internal polling shows Beltran holding a narrow lead over Steele in the low-to-mid 20s among likely primary voters, though margins fall within sampling error and no other entrant reaches double digits. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing remains closely balanced, driven by limited name recognition differences, overlapping conservative policy positions on issues like taxes and immigration, and the absence of major endorsements or late-breaking developments to consolidate support. The two-man dynamic and short timeline to voting sustain uncertainty, with any shift in turnout among Hillsborough and Pasco voters or additional polling releases likely to influence outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKevin Steele 56%
Mike Beltran 42%
Ergin "Batman" Tek <1%
Michael Marcel <1%
$24,418 Vol.
$24,418 Vol.
Kevin Steele
56%
Mike Beltran
42%
Ergin "Batman" Tek
<1%
Michael Marcel
<1%
John Peters
<1%
Robert "Rocky" Rochford
<1%
Gavriel Soriano
<1%
Bea Valenti
<1%
Kevin Steele 56%
Mike Beltran 42%
Ergin "Batman" Tek <1%
Michael Marcel <1%
$24,418 Vol.
$24,418 Vol.
Kevin Steele
56%
Mike Beltran
42%
Ergin "Batman" Tek
<1%
Michael Marcel
<1%
John Peters
<1%
Robert "Rocky" Rochford
<1%
Gavriel Soriano
<1%
Bea Valenti
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Jul 23, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Republican primary for Florida's 14th congressional district, set for August 18, features a crowded field narrowed to a contest between state Rep. Kevin Steele and former state Rep. Mike Beltran, with both candidates drawing from Tampa Bay-area legislative experience in a newly redrawn district favoring Republicans. Recent internal polling shows Beltran holding a narrow lead over Steele in the low-to-mid 20s among likely primary voters, though margins fall within sampling error and no other entrant reaches double digits. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing remains closely balanced, driven by limited name recognition differences, overlapping conservative policy positions on issues like taxes and immigration, and the absence of major endorsements or late-breaking developments to consolidate support. The two-man dynamic and short timeline to voting sustain uncertainty, with any shift in turnout among Hillsborough and Pasco voters or additional polling releases likely to influence outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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