Persistent upper-level high pressure and a robust hot airmass over Central Texas are sustaining extreme heat, with National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 25 centering on highs near 103–105°F amid south-southwest winds of 5–10 mph and minimal cloud cover. Official point forecasts and ensemble guidance, including recent model runs from NWS Austin/San Antonio, indicate this range as the most probable outcome given observed overperformance of temperatures in prior days and maximum 1000–500 mb thicknesses today. Historical August baselines and the absence of a steering pattern shift or moisture influx support the market’s concentration on 102–105°F bins, while lower probabilities for 106°F+ reflect limited upside potential before any subtle cooling emerges later in the week.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Austin le 25 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Austin le 25 août ?
102-103 °F 50%
104-105°F 22%
100-101°F 19%
98-99°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
95°F ou moins
1%
96-97 °F
1%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
19%
102-103 °F
50%
104-105°F
22%
106-107°F
6%
108-109 °F
3%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F ou plus
<1%
102-103 °F 50%
104-105°F 22%
100-101°F 19%
98-99°F 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
95°F ou moins
$5 Vol.
1%
96-97 °F
$47 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$158 Vol.
6%
100-101°F
$240 Vol.
19%
102-103 °F
$463 Vol.
50%
104-105°F
$115 Vol.
22%
106-107°F
$145 Vol.
6%
108-109 °F
$66 Vol.
3%
110-111°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
114°F ou plus
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level high pressure and a robust hot airmass over Central Texas are sustaining extreme heat, with National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 25 centering on highs near 103–105°F amid south-southwest winds of 5–10 mph and minimal cloud cover. Official point forecasts and ensemble guidance, including recent model runs from NWS Austin/San Antonio, indicate this range as the most probable outcome given observed overperformance of temperatures in prior days and maximum 1000–500 mb thicknesses today. Historical August baselines and the absence of a steering pattern shift or moisture influx support the market’s concentration on 102–105°F bins, while lower probabilities for 106°F+ reflect limited upside potential before any subtle cooling emerges later in the week.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,254Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level high pressure and a robust hot airmass over Central Texas are sustaining extreme heat, with National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 25 centering on highs near 103–105°F amid south-southwest winds of 5–10 mph and minimal cloud cover. Official point forecasts and ensemble guidance, including recent model runs from NWS Austin/San Antonio, indicate this range as the most probable outcome given observed overperformance of temperatures in prior days and maximum 1000–500 mb thicknesses today. Historical August baselines and the absence of a steering pattern shift or moisture influx support the market’s concentration on 102–105°F bins, while lower probabilities for 106°F+ reflect limited upside potential before any subtle cooling emerges later in the week.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,254Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent upper-level high pressure and a robust hot airmass over Central Texas are sustaining extreme heat, with National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 25 centering on highs near 103–105°F amid south-southwest winds of 5–10 mph and minimal cloud cover. Official point forecasts and ensemble guidance, including recent model runs from NWS Austin/San Antonio, indicate this range as the most probable outcome given observed overperformance of temperatures in prior days and maximum 1000–500 mb thicknesses today. Historical August baselines and the absence of a steering pattern shift or moisture influx support the market’s concentration on 102–105°F bins, while lower probabilities for 106°F+ reflect limited upside potential before any subtle cooling emerges later in the week.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes