Trader consensus strongly supports a daily high of exactly 14°C in Buenos Aires on May 17, driven by the latest consensus from global and regional forecast models projecting stable cool autumn conditions across the Río de la Plata region. Official guidance indicates maximum temperatures will remain capped near this level under a persistent high-pressure ridge limiting northerly warm-air advection, consistent with mid-May climatology where average highs range from 15–19°C but recent observations trend cooler. This market-implied outcome reflects traders’ assessment of low uncertainty in the data ahead of final verification. A realistic shift toward 15°C or higher would require an unanticipated model adjustment or localized warming not currently indicated in ensemble runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Buenos Aires le 17 mai ?
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$37,296 Vol.
$37,296 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$37,296 Vol.
$37,296 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZTrader consensus strongly supports a daily high of exactly 14°C in Buenos Aires on May 17, driven by the latest consensus from global and regional forecast models projecting stable cool autumn conditions across the Río de la Plata region. Official guidance indicates maximum temperatures will remain capped near this level under a persistent high-pressure ridge limiting northerly warm-air advection, consistent with mid-May climatology where average highs range from 15–19°C but recent observations trend cooler. This market-implied outcome reflects traders’ assessment of low uncertainty in the data ahead of final verification. A realistic shift toward 15°C or higher would require an unanticipated model adjustment or localized warming not currently indicated in ensemble runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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