Recent forecast runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show southerly flow advecting warmer air across the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s daytime maximum near 30 °C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation typically moderates afternoon highs in this region, yet current model consensus and observed temperature trends through mid-May indicate the marine layer will remain too weak to suppress the peak below that threshold. With the market assigning essentially full probability to 30 °C, traders are reflecting the narrow range of outcomes supported by official guidance; only a sharper-than-expected onshore wind shift or delayed diurnal heating could realistically steer the official high recorded by KMA stations into an adjacent bin before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Busan le 17 mai ?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,460 Vol.
$49,460 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,460 Vol.
$49,460 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKRecent forecast runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show southerly flow advecting warmer air across the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s daytime maximum near 30 °C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation typically moderates afternoon highs in this region, yet current model consensus and observed temperature trends through mid-May indicate the marine layer will remain too weak to suppress the peak below that threshold. With the market assigning essentially full probability to 30 °C, traders are reflecting the narrow range of outcomes supported by official guidance; only a sharper-than-expected onshore wind shift or delayed diurnal heating could realistically steer the official high recorded by KMA stations into an adjacent bin before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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