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icon for Température la plus élevée à Busan le 17 mai ?

Température la plus élevée à Busan le 17 mai ?

icon for Température la plus élevée à Busan le 17 mai ?

Température la plus élevée à Busan le 17 mai ?

30°C 30%

29°C 27%

31°C 9.8%

32°C 10%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

30°C 30%

29°C 27%

31°C 9.8%

32°C 10%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

23°C or below

$708 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$625 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$425 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$124 Vol.

1%

27°C

$521 Vol.

1%

28°C

$424 Vol.

6%

29°C

$55 Vol.

27%

30°C

$161 Vol.

27%

31°C

$153 Vol.

10%

32°C

$180 Vol.

10%

33°C or higher

$3,478 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast models project Busan's maximum temperature on May 17 at around 30–33°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 50% implied probability for 33°C or higher. This reflects recent developments including above-seasonal norms throughout May 2026—averaging 6–8°C warmer than the typical 22–24°C May high—and a surge in heat-related illnesses reported this week amid unseasonably warm conditions following early-May rains. Coastal sea breezes introduce uncertainty, tempering intensification potential and boosting odds for 27–32°C outcomes (17–21%), with model ensembles showing spread. Traders await KMA's next update at 06:00 May 16 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,845
Date de fin
17 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecast models project Busan's maximum temperature on May 17 at around 30–33°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus to a 50% implied probability for 33°C or higher. This reflects recent developments including above-seasonal norms throughout May 2026—averaging 6–8°C warmer than the typical 22–24°C May high—and a surge in heat-related illnesses reported this week amid unseasonably warm conditions following early-May rains. Coastal sea breezes introduce uncertainty, tempering intensification potential and boosting odds for 27–32°C outcomes (17–21%), with model ensembles showing spread. Traders await KMA's next update at 06:00 May 16 for refined guidance ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,845
Date de fin
17 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Questions fréquentes

« Température la plus élevée à Busan le 17 mai ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 29°C » à 27%, suivi de « 30°C » à 27%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 27¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 27% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Température la plus élevée à Busan le 17 mai ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le May 15, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Température la plus élevée à Busan le 17 mai ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Température la plus élevée à Busan le 17 mai ? » est « 29°C » à 27%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 27% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 30°C » à 27%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Température la plus élevée à Busan le 17 mai ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.