Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daily maximum of 36°C for Chengdu on August 13, 2026, under prevailing summer subtropical high-pressure patterns that favor clear skies and strong insolation. This aligns with historical mid-August climatology for the Sichuan basin, where temperatures commonly peak near 34–37°C amid high humidity. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in these consensus runs, which incorporate surface observations and ensemble data showing limited variability. A sudden influx of monsoon moisture or thicker cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, while an unforecast heat surge might push readings higher, though current guidance indicates low probability of either shift before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 13 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 13 août ?
36°C 100.0%
32°C ou moins <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$55,957 Vol.
$55,957 Vol.
13 août 2026
32°C ou moins
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Non
35°C
Non
36°C
Oui
37°C
Non
38°C
Non
39°C
Non
40°C
Non
41°C
Non
42°C ou plus
Non
36°C 100.0%
32°C ou moins <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$55,957 Vol.
$55,957 Vol.
13 août 2026
32°C ou moins
$7,488 Vol.
Non
33°C
$3,386 Vol.
Non
34°C
$6,644 Vol.
Non
35°C
$7,288 Vol.
Non
36°C
$6,477 Vol.
Oui
37°C
$10,515 Vol.
Non
38°C
$5,639 Vol.
Non
39°C
$4,028 Vol.
Non
40°C
$3,063 Vol.
Non
41°C
$937 Vol.
Non
42°C ou plus
$493 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daily maximum of 36°C for Chengdu on August 13, 2026, under prevailing summer subtropical high-pressure patterns that favor clear skies and strong insolation. This aligns with historical mid-August climatology for the Sichuan basin, where temperatures commonly peak near 34–37°C amid high humidity. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in these consensus runs, which incorporate surface observations and ensemble data showing limited variability. A sudden influx of monsoon moisture or thicker cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, while an unforecast heat surge might push readings higher, though current guidance indicates low probability of either shift before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$55,957Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daily maximum of 36°C for Chengdu on August 13, 2026, under prevailing summer subtropical high-pressure patterns that favor clear skies and strong insolation. This aligns with historical mid-August climatology for the Sichuan basin, where temperatures commonly peak near 34–37°C amid high humidity. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in these consensus runs, which incorporate surface observations and ensemble data showing limited variability. A sudden influx of monsoon moisture or thicker cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, while an unforecast heat surge might push readings higher, though current guidance indicates low probability of either shift before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55,957Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daily maximum of 36°C for Chengdu on August 13, 2026, under prevailing summer subtropical high-pressure patterns that favor clear skies and strong insolation. This aligns with historical mid-August climatology for the Sichuan basin, where temperatures commonly peak near 34–37°C amid high humidity. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in these consensus runs, which incorporate surface observations and ensemble data showing limited variability. A sudden influx of monsoon moisture or thicker cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, while an unforecast heat surge might push readings higher, though current guidance indicates low probability of either shift before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes