Recent meteorological guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle across Chongqing on May 17, which suppresses solar heating and limits boundary-layer mixing under southerly flow. This setup holds the official daily maximum near 23 °C at the Jiangbei International Airport station, aligning with the market’s overwhelming 99.6 % implied probability for that outcome. Mid-May climatology for the Sichuan Basin typically features highs of 24–26 °C, yet elevated moisture and reduced insolation are suppressing afternoon peaks this year. Ensemble models show minimal spread, though traders continue to monitor final runs for any late shifts in precipitation timing or wind strength that could nudge readings one degree higher.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 17 mai ?
23°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$46,426 Vol.
$46,426 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$46,426 Vol.
$46,426 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKRecent meteorological guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle across Chongqing on May 17, which suppresses solar heating and limits boundary-layer mixing under southerly flow. This setup holds the official daily maximum near 23 °C at the Jiangbei International Airport station, aligning with the market’s overwhelming 99.6 % implied probability for that outcome. Mid-May climatology for the Sichuan Basin typically features highs of 24–26 °C, yet elevated moisture and reduced insolation are suppressing afternoon peaks this year. Ensemble models show minimal spread, though traders continue to monitor final runs for any late shifts in precipitation timing or wind strength that could nudge readings one degree higher.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes