**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 14, 2026, with near-certainty implied probability.** This reflects the official daily maximum measurement from the Observatory’s headquarters, the authoritative source for resolution. Mid-August climatology in Hong Kong typically features highs near 31–32 °C under subtropical high pressure, but the day fell within an extended heat episode where maximums stayed at or above 33 °C for nine consecutive days through the 14th, driven by warm advection and limited cloud cover. The 30 °C reading is consistent with a slight moderation from the record 36.9 °C peak earlier in the month (August 9) while still qualifying as a very hot day. Only a post-publication data revision by the Observatory or a redefinition of the market’s measurement station or timing window could realistically shift the outcome; current observational records show no indication of such adjustment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 14 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 14 août ?
30°C 99.9%
29°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$237,363 Vol.
$237,363 Vol.
14 août 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.9%
29°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
$237,363 Vol.
$237,363 Vol.
14 août 2026
26°C or below
$4,300 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10,516 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$47,640 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$52,810 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$48,701 Vol.
100%
31°C
$32,502 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$19,039 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$9,131 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$7,686 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,460 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,578 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 14, 2026, with near-certainty implied probability.**
This reflects the official daily maximum measurement from the Observatory’s headquarters, the authoritative source for resolution. Mid-August climatology in Hong Kong typically features highs near 31–32 °C under subtropical high pressure, but the day fell within an extended heat episode where maximums stayed at or above 33 °C for nine consecutive days through the 14th, driven by warm advection and limited cloud cover. The 30 °C reading is consistent with a slight moderation from the record 36.9 °C peak earlier in the month (August 9) while still qualifying as a very hot day.
Only a post-publication data revision by the Observatory or a redefinition of the market’s measurement station or timing window could realistically shift the outcome; current observational records show no indication of such adjustment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$237,363Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 14, 2026, with near-certainty implied probability.**
This reflects the official daily maximum measurement from the Observatory’s headquarters, the authoritative source for resolution. Mid-August climatology in Hong Kong typically features highs near 31–32 °C under subtropical high pressure, but the day fell within an extended heat episode where maximums stayed at or above 33 °C for nine consecutive days through the 14th, driven by warm advection and limited cloud cover. The 30 °C reading is consistent with a slight moderation from the record 36.9 °C peak earlier in the month (August 9) while still qualifying as a very hot day.
Only a post-publication data revision by the Observatory or a redefinition of the market’s measurement station or timing window could realistically shift the outcome; current observational records show no indication of such adjustment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$237,363Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 14, 2026, with near-certainty implied probability.** This reflects the official daily maximum measurement from the Observatory’s headquarters, the authoritative source for resolution. Mid-August climatology in Hong Kong typically features highs near 31–32 °C under subtropical high pressure, but the day fell within an extended heat episode where maximums stayed at or above 33 °C for nine consecutive days through the 14th, driven by warm advection and limited cloud cover. The 30 °C reading is consistent with a slight moderation from the record 36.9 °C peak earlier in the month (August 9) while still qualifying as a very hot day. Only a post-publication data revision by the Observatory or a redefinition of the market’s measurement station or timing window could realistically shift the outcome; current observational records show no indication of such adjustment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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