Official National Weather Service observations and station reports from Houston's primary airports confirm a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 15, 2026, fully aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent late-summer ridging, strong southerly flow from the Gulf, high dew points near 75°F, and mostly clear skies enabled efficient daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation to suppress the peak. Forecast model consensus from the prior 48 hours consistently projected this range, consistent with climatological August averages of 93–95°F at those locations and the absence of any frontal passage or tropical moisture that could have altered the thermal profile. Minor variations in exact station readings or heat-index adjustments remain the only realistic factors that could have shifted resolution, though none materialized here.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Houston le 15 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Houston le 15 août ?
96-97°F 100.0%
85°F ou moins <1%
30-30,5°C <1%
88-89 °F <1%
$25,350 Vol.
$25,350 Vol.
15 août 2026
85°F ou moins
<1%
30-30,5°C
<1%
88-89 °F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
100%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101 °F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F ou plus
<1%
96-97°F 100.0%
85°F ou moins <1%
30-30,5°C <1%
88-89 °F <1%
$25,350 Vol.
$25,350 Vol.
15 août 2026
85°F ou moins
$170 Vol.
<1%
30-30,5°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
88-89 °F
$495 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$1,927 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$1,574 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$4,997 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$8,402 Vol.
100%
98-99°F
$4,639 Vol.
<1%
100-101 °F
$1,566 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$691 Vol.
<1%
104°F ou plus
$568 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations and station reports from Houston's primary airports confirm a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 15, 2026, fully aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent late-summer ridging, strong southerly flow from the Gulf, high dew points near 75°F, and mostly clear skies enabled efficient daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation to suppress the peak. Forecast model consensus from the prior 48 hours consistently projected this range, consistent with climatological August averages of 93–95°F at those locations and the absence of any frontal passage or tropical moisture that could have altered the thermal profile. Minor variations in exact station readings or heat-index adjustments remain the only realistic factors that could have shifted resolution, though none materialized here.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$25,350Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations and station reports from Houston's primary airports confirm a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 15, 2026, fully aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent late-summer ridging, strong southerly flow from the Gulf, high dew points near 75°F, and mostly clear skies enabled efficient daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation to suppress the peak. Forecast model consensus from the prior 48 hours consistently projected this range, consistent with climatological August averages of 93–95°F at those locations and the absence of any frontal passage or tropical moisture that could have altered the thermal profile. Minor variations in exact station readings or heat-index adjustments remain the only realistic factors that could have shifted resolution, though none materialized here.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,350Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations and station reports from Houston's primary airports confirm a daily maximum of 96–97°F on August 15, 2026, fully aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent late-summer ridging, strong southerly flow from the Gulf, high dew points near 75°F, and mostly clear skies enabled efficient daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation to suppress the peak. Forecast model consensus from the prior 48 hours consistently projected this range, consistent with climatological August averages of 93–95°F at those locations and the absence of any frontal passage or tropical moisture that could have altered the thermal profile. Minor variations in exact station readings or heat-index adjustments remain the only realistic factors that could have shifted resolution, though none materialized here.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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