Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to sunny skies and a high near 100–102°F in Dallas on August 15, driven by persistent high pressure and southerly flow that limits cloud cover and moisture. This aligns with August climatology where daily highs average near 96°F but frequently reach the upper 90s to low 100s under similar ridge patterns. Recent observations show no significant cooling trends or frontal passages, keeping the 100–101°F bin as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability while the 98–99°F outcome holds secondary support. Forecasters will issue final updates tomorrow morning, with any last-minute wind or humidity shifts potentially adjusting the exact maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 15 août ?
100-101°F 50%
98-99°F 36%
102-103°F 11%
104-105°F 3%
$14,566 Vol.
$14,566 Vol.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
36%
100-101°F
50%
102-103°F
11%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 50%
98-99°F 36%
102-103°F 11%
104-105°F 3%
$14,566 Vol.
$14,566 Vol.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
36%
100-101°F
50%
102-103°F
11%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to sunny skies and a high near 100–102°F in Dallas on August 15, driven by persistent high pressure and southerly flow that limits cloud cover and moisture. This aligns with August climatology where daily highs average near 96°F but frequently reach the upper 90s to low 100s under similar ridge patterns. Recent observations show no significant cooling trends or frontal passages, keeping the 100–101°F bin as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability while the 98–99°F outcome holds secondary support. Forecasters will issue final updates tomorrow morning, with any last-minute wind or humidity shifts potentially adjusting the exact maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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