Recent meteorological forecasts indicate Istanbul will reach daytime maximum temperatures of 25–27°C today, driven by stable high-pressure systems and southerly flow over the region. Official models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show minimal cloud cover and light winds that favor surface heating, consistent with May climatology where highs frequently exceed 24°C. This underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unforecasted marine layer intrusion that caps readings below the threshold at official measurement stations by midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 16?
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$41,344 Vol.
$41,344 Vol.
16 mai 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$41,344 Vol.
$41,344 Vol.
16 mai 2026
15°C or below
$1,053 Vol.
No
16°C
$674 Vol.
No
17°C
$430 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,413 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,134 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,929 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,729 Vol.
No
22°C
$5,051 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,653 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,728 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$17,549 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts indicate Istanbul will reach daytime maximum temperatures of 25–27°C today, driven by stable high-pressure systems and southerly flow over the region. Official models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show minimal cloud cover and light winds that favor surface heating, consistent with May climatology where highs frequently exceed 24°C. This underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unforecasted marine layer intrusion that caps readings below the threshold at official measurement stations by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$41,344Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts indicate Istanbul will reach daytime maximum temperatures of 25–27°C today, driven by stable high-pressure systems and southerly flow over the region. Official models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show minimal cloud cover and light winds that favor surface heating, consistent with May climatology where highs frequently exceed 24°C. This underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unforecasted marine layer intrusion that caps readings below the threshold at official measurement stations by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$41,344Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
Recent meteorological forecasts indicate Istanbul will reach daytime maximum temperatures of 25–27°C today, driven by stable high-pressure systems and southerly flow over the region. Official models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show minimal cloud cover and light winds that favor surface heating, consistent with May climatology where highs frequently exceed 24°C. This underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 25°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift in steering patterns or unforecasted marine layer intrusion that caps readings below the threshold at official measurement stations by midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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