Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System position Istanbul’s May 18 maximum near the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C under moderate southeasterly flow and limited moisture. This atmospheric setup, without notable warm advection or blocking patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring 21 °C as the leading outcome while spreading probability across 20–22 °C bins. Sea-breeze moderation along the Bosphorus and variable cloud cover introduce minor model spread, keeping the chance of readings reaching 23 °C or higher relatively low. Final resolution will hinge on official observations from Istanbul Airport once the day concludes, with historical Turkish State Meteorological Service data confirming similar spring conditions rarely exceed this narrow range absent stronger synoptic forcing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 18 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 18 mai ?
21°C 33%
22°C 26%
23°C or higher 13.5%
20°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 mai 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
11%
21°C
33%
22°C
26%
23°C or higher
14%
21°C 33%
22°C 26%
23°C or higher 13.5%
20°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 mai 2026
13°C or below
$442 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$770 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,115 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$791 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,695 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,090 Vol.
1%
19°C
$731 Vol.
4%
20°C
$324 Vol.
11%
21°C
$434 Vol.
33%
22°C
$304 Vol.
26%
23°C or higher
$692 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System position Istanbul’s May 18 maximum near the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C under moderate southeasterly flow and limited moisture. This atmospheric setup, without notable warm advection or blocking patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring 21 °C as the leading outcome while spreading probability across 20–22 °C bins. Sea-breeze moderation along the Bosphorus and variable cloud cover introduce minor model spread, keeping the chance of readings reaching 23 °C or higher relatively low. Final resolution will hinge on official observations from Istanbul Airport once the day concludes, with historical Turkish State Meteorological Service data confirming similar spring conditions rarely exceed this narrow range absent stronger synoptic forcing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$8,356Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System position Istanbul’s May 18 maximum near the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C under moderate southeasterly flow and limited moisture. This atmospheric setup, without notable warm advection or blocking patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring 21 °C as the leading outcome while spreading probability across 20–22 °C bins. Sea-breeze moderation along the Bosphorus and variable cloud cover introduce minor model spread, keeping the chance of readings reaching 23 °C or higher relatively low. Final resolution will hinge on official observations from Istanbul Airport once the day concludes, with historical Turkish State Meteorological Service data confirming similar spring conditions rarely exceed this narrow range absent stronger synoptic forcing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,356Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System position Istanbul’s May 18 maximum near the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C under moderate southeasterly flow and limited moisture. This atmospheric setup, without notable warm advection or blocking patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring 21 °C as the leading outcome while spreading probability across 20–22 °C bins. Sea-breeze moderation along the Bosphorus and variable cloud cover introduce minor model spread, keeping the chance of readings reaching 23 °C or higher relatively low. Final resolution will hinge on official observations from Istanbul Airport once the day concludes, with historical Turkish State Meteorological Service data confirming similar spring conditions rarely exceed this narrow range absent stronger synoptic forcing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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