National Weather Service model consensus currently projects a Miami daytime high of 86–87°F on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. This setup favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies with minimal convective inhibition, keeping peak temperatures clustered near the seasonal normal of 85–87°F. Slight differences among ensemble members—primarily in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing—create the tight spread between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins that together exceed 75% market-implied probability. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum recorded at Miami International Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Miami le 18 mai ?
30-31°C 45%
88-89 °F 33%
84-85°F 14%
90-91 °F 6%
$16,861 Vol.
$16,861 Vol.
77°F ou moins
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83 °F
3%
84-85°F
14%
30-31°C
45%
88-89 °F
33%
90-91 °F
6%
92-93°F
1%
94-95 °F
1%
96°F ou plus
<1%
30-31°C 45%
88-89 °F 33%
84-85°F 14%
90-91 °F 6%
$16,861 Vol.
$16,861 Vol.
77°F ou moins
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83 °F
3%
84-85°F
14%
30-31°C
45%
88-89 °F
33%
90-91 °F
6%
92-93°F
1%
94-95 °F
1%
96°F ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIANational Weather Service model consensus currently projects a Miami daytime high of 86–87°F on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. This setup favors modest warming under partly cloudy skies with minimal convective inhibition, keeping peak temperatures clustered near the seasonal normal of 85–87°F. Slight differences among ensemble members—primarily in boundary-layer moisture and exact frontal timing—create the tight spread between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F bins that together exceed 75% market-implied probability. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final observed maximum recorded at Miami International Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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