Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a daily high near 86°F in Miami on May 18, driven by typical late-spring atmospheric conditions including a modest upper-level ridge and light easterly flow that limits strong sea-breeze cooling until afternoon. This places the market-implied favorite at 86-87°F with 43.5% probability, narrowly ahead of 88-89°F at 34%, reflecting small ensemble spread in peak heating and boundary-layer mixing. Historical May averages hover around 85-87°F at Miami International Airport, with occasional spikes when subtropical moisture and light winds allow greater surface warming. Final resolution depends on official NWS observations, which will capture any late-day convective cooling or delayed sea-breeze onset that could shift the outcome between the two leading bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Miami le 18 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Miami le 18 mai ?
30-31°C 44%
88-89 °F 34%
84-85°F 16%
90-91 °F 7%
NOUVEAU
$10,347 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,347 Vol.
18 mai 2026
77°F ou moins
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83 °F
2%
84-85°F
16%
30-31°C
44%
88-89 °F
34%
90-91 °F
7%
92-93°F
1%
94-95 °F
1%
96°F ou plus
1%
30-31°C 44%
88-89 °F 34%
84-85°F 16%
90-91 °F 7%
NOUVEAU
$10,347 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,347 Vol.
18 mai 2026
77°F ou moins
$728 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$944 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$608 Vol.
<1%
82-83 °F
$1,073 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$871 Vol.
16%
30-31°C
$741 Vol.
44%
88-89 °F
$922 Vol.
34%
90-91 °F
$1,433 Vol.
7%
92-93°F
$1,216 Vol.
1%
94-95 °F
$901 Vol.
1%
96°F ou plus
$908 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a daily high near 86°F in Miami on May 18, driven by typical late-spring atmospheric conditions including a modest upper-level ridge and light easterly flow that limits strong sea-breeze cooling until afternoon. This places the market-implied favorite at 86-87°F with 43.5% probability, narrowly ahead of 88-89°F at 34%, reflecting small ensemble spread in peak heating and boundary-layer mixing. Historical May averages hover around 85-87°F at Miami International Airport, with occasional spikes when subtropical moisture and light winds allow greater surface warming. Final resolution depends on official NWS observations, which will capture any late-day convective cooling or delayed sea-breeze onset that could shift the outcome between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$10,347Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a daily high near 86°F in Miami on May 18, driven by typical late-spring atmospheric conditions including a modest upper-level ridge and light easterly flow that limits strong sea-breeze cooling until afternoon. This places the market-implied favorite at 86-87°F with 43.5% probability, narrowly ahead of 88-89°F at 34%, reflecting small ensemble spread in peak heating and boundary-layer mixing. Historical May averages hover around 85-87°F at Miami International Airport, with occasional spikes when subtropical moisture and light winds allow greater surface warming. Final resolution depends on official NWS observations, which will capture any late-day convective cooling or delayed sea-breeze onset that could shift the outcome between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,347Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIACurrent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a daily high near 86°F in Miami on May 18, driven by typical late-spring atmospheric conditions including a modest upper-level ridge and light easterly flow that limits strong sea-breeze cooling until afternoon. This places the market-implied favorite at 86-87°F with 43.5% probability, narrowly ahead of 88-89°F at 34%, reflecting small ensemble spread in peak heating and boundary-layer mixing. Historical May averages hover around 85-87°F at Miami International Airport, with occasional spikes when subtropical moisture and light winds allow greater surface warming. Final resolution depends on official NWS observations, which will capture any late-day convective cooling or delayed sea-breeze onset that could shift the outcome between the two leading bins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes