Strong observational data from Milan’s Malpensa reference station and converging forecast models underpin the overwhelming 96.5% market-implied probability for a 34°C daily maximum. A persistent high-pressure ridge has delivered clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and strong solar insolation, producing peak temperatures consistent with 34°C at the airport site rather than the slightly higher urban readings sometimes recorded in central Milan. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C highlight the elevated but not extreme anomaly. Late-day convection or minor boundary-layer mixing could still trim the official maximum by 1°C, yet the narrow spread across authoritative sources leaves little room for outcomes outside 34°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 15 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Milan le 15 août ?
34°C 98%
35°C 2%
36°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
$41,827 Vol.
$41,827 Vol.
15 août 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
98%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 98%
35°C 2%
36°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
$41,827 Vol.
$41,827 Vol.
15 août 2026
30°C or below
$215 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$332 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,729 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$12,467 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$9,031 Vol.
98%
35°C
$7,743 Vol.
2%
36°C
$5,527 Vol.
1%
37°C
$2,663 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$1,399 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$578 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$143 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong observational data from Milan’s Malpensa reference station and converging forecast models underpin the overwhelming 96.5% market-implied probability for a 34°C daily maximum. A persistent high-pressure ridge has delivered clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and strong solar insolation, producing peak temperatures consistent with 34°C at the airport site rather than the slightly higher urban readings sometimes recorded in central Milan. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C highlight the elevated but not extreme anomaly. Late-day convection or minor boundary-layer mixing could still trim the official maximum by 1°C, yet the narrow spread across authoritative sources leaves little room for outcomes outside 34°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$41,827Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong observational data from Milan’s Malpensa reference station and converging forecast models underpin the overwhelming 96.5% market-implied probability for a 34°C daily maximum. A persistent high-pressure ridge has delivered clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and strong solar insolation, producing peak temperatures consistent with 34°C at the airport site rather than the slightly higher urban readings sometimes recorded in central Milan. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C highlight the elevated but not extreme anomaly. Late-day convection or minor boundary-layer mixing could still trim the official maximum by 1°C, yet the narrow spread across authoritative sources leaves little room for outcomes outside 34°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,827Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong observational data from Milan’s Malpensa reference station and converging forecast models underpin the overwhelming 96.5% market-implied probability for a 34°C daily maximum. A persistent high-pressure ridge has delivered clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and strong solar insolation, producing peak temperatures consistent with 34°C at the airport site rather than the slightly higher urban readings sometimes recorded in central Milan. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C highlight the elevated but not extreme anomaly. Late-day convection or minor boundary-layer mixing could still trim the official maximum by 1°C, yet the narrow spread across authoritative sources leaves little room for outcomes outside 34°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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