Recent European weather model consensus, including outputs from the ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service, points to stable anticyclonic conditions over the Po Valley driving Milan’s daytime high to 21°C on May 17. Clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal moisture advection support gradual afternoon warming that aligns closely with the seasonal climatological average near 22°C while remaining below thresholds for stronger thermal mixing. This setup explains the overwhelming trader preference for the 21°C outcome at current implied odds. A late-day frontal passage or increased low-level cloud cover could cap the maximum a degree lower, though such shifts remain low-probability given the latest observational data and short-range forecast guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Milan le 17 mai ?
21°C 99.0%
22°C 1.5%
23°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$41,656 Vol.
$41,656 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
99%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99.0%
22°C 1.5%
23°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$41,656 Vol.
$41,656 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
99%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCRecent European weather model consensus, including outputs from the ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service, points to stable anticyclonic conditions over the Po Valley driving Milan’s daytime high to 21°C on May 17. Clear skies, light southerly flow, and minimal moisture advection support gradual afternoon warming that aligns closely with the seasonal climatological average near 22°C while remaining below thresholds for stronger thermal mixing. This setup explains the overwhelming trader preference for the 21°C outcome at current implied odds. A late-day frontal passage or increased low-level cloud cover could cap the maximum a degree lower, though such shifts remain low-probability given the latest observational data and short-range forecast guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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