The latest ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to a maximum air temperature of 26°C in Moscow on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that limits cloud cover and convective activity during peak heating hours. This outcome aligns closely with climatological norms for mid-May in the region, where daily highs average near 20–22°C but can climb several degrees under clear conditions. Official observations from the VDNKh station, which determines market resolution, are expected to match these model runs given minimal spread across guidance. Only a rapid shift in steering winds or unforecast precipitation could push readings to 27°C or above, an outcome traders currently assign negligible probability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 17 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Moscou le 17 mai ?
26°C 99.7%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$43,144 Vol.
$43,144 Vol.
17 mai 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.7%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$43,144 Vol.
$43,144 Vol.
17 mai 2026
18°C or below
$1,628 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,641 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,344 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,934 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,251 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,334 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,517 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,133 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$6,819 Vol.
100%
27°C
$5,374 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$5,208 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to a maximum air temperature of 26°C in Moscow on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that limits cloud cover and convective activity during peak heating hours. This outcome aligns closely with climatological norms for mid-May in the region, where daily highs average near 20–22°C but can climb several degrees under clear conditions. Official observations from the VDNKh station, which determines market resolution, are expected to match these model runs given minimal spread across guidance. Only a rapid shift in steering winds or unforecast precipitation could push readings to 27°C or above, an outcome traders currently assign negligible probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$43,144Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to a maximum air temperature of 26°C in Moscow on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that limits cloud cover and convective activity during peak heating hours. This outcome aligns closely with climatological norms for mid-May in the region, where daily highs average near 20–22°C but can climb several degrees under clear conditions. Official observations from the VDNKh station, which determines market resolution, are expected to match these model runs given minimal spread across guidance. Only a rapid shift in steering winds or unforecast precipitation could push readings to 27°C or above, an outcome traders currently assign negligible probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$43,144Date de fin
17 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThe latest ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers point to a maximum air temperature of 26°C in Moscow on May 17, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that limits cloud cover and convective activity during peak heating hours. This outcome aligns closely with climatological norms for mid-May in the region, where daily highs average near 20–22°C but can climb several degrees under clear conditions. Official observations from the VDNKh station, which determines market resolution, are expected to match these model runs given minimal spread across guidance. Only a rapid shift in steering winds or unforecast precipitation could push readings to 27°C or above, an outcome traders currently assign negligible probability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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