Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air over the Korean Peninsula, driving the 76.5% market-implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C or above in Seoul on May 18. Ensemble guidance from global models indicates afternoon highs settling in the mid-20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology but elevated by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures that enhance warm-air advection and boundary-layer heating. Historical daily maximums for the period typically range from the low to mid-20s, with current conditions showing modest model consensus and limited spread around these central outcomes. Traders are monitoring any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns ahead of the official Incheon International Airport Station reading that will determine resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Séoul le 18 mai ?
25°C or higher 77%
24°C 19%
23°C 3.5%
22°C <1%
$71,752 Vol.
$71,752 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
77%
25°C or higher 77%
24°C 19%
23°C 3.5%
22°C <1%
$71,752 Vol.
$71,752 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
77%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air over the Korean Peninsula, driving the 76.5% market-implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C or above in Seoul on May 18. Ensemble guidance from global models indicates afternoon highs settling in the mid-20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology but elevated by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures that enhance warm-air advection and boundary-layer heating. Historical daily maximums for the period typically range from the low to mid-20s, with current conditions showing modest model consensus and limited spread around these central outcomes. Traders are monitoring any shifts in cloud cover or wind patterns ahead of the official Incheon International Airport Station reading that will determine resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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